第483章 弱国无外交
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无恤只能边喝着苦涩的药汁，一边听张孟谈分析局面。
“昨日仆臣已经说过，齐鲁讲和，对司寇有害而无利。”
昨天张孟谈对赵无恤分析说，齐国此番请平，怕的不是鲁国，而是他。
“齐国希望凭借轻重之术，禁盐困鲁，结果却被司寇和子贡的妙招化解，午道济水濮水被切断，大河上河盗的劫掠也没有停止，这让齐国遭受了不少损失。而齐人气急败坏派来的舟师也被击退，随着西鲁铸币，齐刀难以流入，又少了一项能控制鲁地货殖的利器，齐人开始急了。现下还要来硬的话，除非征发大军再次开战，否则已经奈司寇不能。所以他们选择了软手，明面上与鲁国和解，但其目的，还是在图谋西鲁。”
无恤道：“名不正则言不顺，齐侯终于想起来了，我毕竟是鲁侯之臣，若是齐鲁两君和解，我也只能罢兵休战，到时候齐国便可以慢慢休憩，来日再图我……”
“然，仆臣猜测，齐国请平的一个条件，一定有各自归还所夺之地”
齐国控制了鲁国的龟田灌邑等地。
而鲁国控制的，则是廪丘
现在已经位于西鲁心脏位置的廪丘，若是齐国再次回到这里，无恤的这个半政权就失去了整体性，就像在心腹中间被插入了一根尖锐的刺。
齐鲁会谈虽然只是商议两国双方的和平，但这之后晋国若是再无作为，那鲁国君臣肯定会试探着和传统的友邦卫郑也和好，彻底退出战争的乱局了。
到那时候，甄城濮南怎么办？按照三桓那欺软怕硬，宁可送地于敌，也要把排外内斗进行到底的尿性，他们会联合齐卫不断逼压赵无恤让步。到时候非但这些占领区不保，连现下名为其他大夫所辖，实则已经被赵无恤控制的高鱼范秦等邑也保不住
在张孟谈出色的抽丝剥茧下，一个简简单单的和谈，竟被引出了一大串阴暗的后手，这让赵无恤额头顿时爬满了冷汗。
千里之堤毁于蚁穴，所以齐鲁之间的和谈，他一定要阻止
于是他说道：“我身为小司寇，也算能参与政事的鲁国重臣，又是边境的大封君，与齐讲和之事，我也是能说上话的，主动提出反对何如？”
张孟谈摇头道：“万万不可，现下鲁侯三桓，甚至大宗伯孔子都愿意与齐和解，毕竟晋齐争霸与鲁国利益无涉，阳虎倒台后，三桓早就想休战了，奈何司寇入鲁，晋军又来了两次，才不得不撑到现在。所以与齐和解，非但是朝堂卿大夫的心思，也是鲁国民众所希望的。若是司寇一意拒绝讲和，反倒会掉进齐侯的陷阱里，招致全鲁怨愤，那时候，齐国图我就不是三五年后的事情了，而是随时可以和三桓寻借口发动……”
君臣关系，这道枷锁在春秋时还不算锁死，但仍然能把人压得不能动弹。两年前赵无恤在走投无路下入鲁，鲁国大夫的身份给了他种种方便，可现如今，却要反受其咎了。
无恤头疼不已：“反对也不行，同意也不行，那这个死结应该如何解开？”
张孟谈道：“还是得依靠晋国能及时干预，鲁国主政者胆怯，晋国的威胁能让他们愿意保持现状，而不是冒险。”
无恤心里和口中的药一样苦涩：“现在赵氏正逢多事之夏，无暇出兵，至少得数月后才能做出反应。而其余几个卿，知氏对国外事务一向不感兴趣，恐怕宁可失去鲁国也要让赵氏受损，韩魏则是做不了主的。”
晋国现在内外多事，连把边上的卫国好好教训一番都难做到，何况越境伐齐逼鲁……
张孟谈凑近了几分道：“所以吾等需要的是时间，司寇不如先假意答应和谈，但不承诺任何条件，同时要求参与夹谷之会，届时再随机应变，伺机主导局面”
假意答应，然后参加夹谷之会？
“齐国的和谈之策，是想离间司寇与鲁城的三桓，让鲁国内斗。但司寇何妨将计就计，既能拖延时间，又能借力打力。齐国此番议和并无诚意，而是有所图谋，三桓同样如此，但鲁国朝堂里，还是有人将鲁国利益当回事的……”
无恤恍然：“比如鲁侯自己，还有孔子”
为了削弱赵无恤而出卖鲁国既得利益的事情，以孔子的秉性，赵无恤觉得他做不出来，鲁侯也会羞于同意。若是赵无恤自己再参与进去，此番和齐国能谋求的，至多就是边境维持现状，停止交兵而已
“然也但光靠孔子的寥寥数百弟子，还有三桓那些不堪一击的族兵，并不足以撑起一次和谈的武力鲁侯和孔子忌惮司寇，却不得不依靠司寇，司寇还记得曾对子贡说起的那句话否？”
赵无恤定定地看了张孟谈一会，露出了了然的笑，说道：“然，弱国无外交”未完待续。
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