第一千六百五十六章 打死打残打服
最新网址:m.ltxsdz.com
日常运营中,互联网可以直接通过直观的数据,看出当天自己网站、app每天的活跃人数,如果出现蛛丝马迹般的波动,立刻就能洞察出来,并且直接进行调整。
例如,一个购物网站,正常每天上午十点有50万在线用户、每秒订单数10个,但这天上午十点在线用户数有48万,每秒订单数8.5个,这样的数据一直持续,等到十点二十的时候,e可能就已经把运营负责人叫到办公室里痛骂一顿,十点半的时候,运营负责人可能就已经带着团队找原因了。
如果是刚上的产品版块让用户不太满意,查明之后可以立刻下线、永不再上,这是急刹车;
如果是产品某个版块出现了bug,导致用户体验下降,技术部门可以立刻修复,这是急转弯;
如果是竞争对手最近的推广力度有些大,抢走了部分用户,那市场部门可以立刻投入更多的成本与资源来提高推广,这是急加速。
与互联网企业相比,玛氏这样的企业,无论是加速还是减速、转弯,都非常困难,更像是一艘巨型油轮。
玛氏的每一款产品,都要先经过漫长的研发及测试,即便是食物也是如此,研发测试之后,想要投放市场,还要先建设一条甚至数条生产线、招聘及培训专业技工,然后再进行批量生产,这就意味着,起步加速都很慢,需要一步一个脚印的往前走。
就像巨型油轮,虽然运力很大,但起步慢、加速也很慢。
日常运营中,一旦某款产品出了问题,或者整个产品线都出了问题,企业还不能立刻减产,因为减产的背后,代表着生产线与劳动力的缩减、代表着原材料单位成本的上涨、代表着单位生产成本的上涨,也代表着市场份额的拱手出让。
生产线的运转更像是巨型油轮的运行,从零开始加速的过程要耗费巨大的动力,可一旦进入正轨,就可以保证稳定匀速的持续运转,中间如果需要减速,不能靠踩刹车就能实现,而是需要耗费大量的燃料进行反推,速度一旦掉下来,想再提速,又需要重新再向前做功。
如果玛氏确定自己的销量未来不会再提升,那么现在减产固然是明智的选择,可问题就在于,玛氏现在还不确定,自己未来能否在短时间内,把销量重新提起来。
罗兰·马斯心里很清楚,但凡还有一丝机会,玛氏都不能立刻减产。
他现在的处境,很像当年美国经济大萧条的时候,奶农把牛奶倒进河里的操作。
表面上看,万恶的资本家,宁愿把牛奶倒进河里也不愿意分给穷人。
但仔细分析一下,其实,把牛奶倒进河里的根本不是资本家,而是奶农,这些奶农,可能比穷人还要可怜。
在那个年代,牛奶市场行情一旦不好,资本家就会立刻停止采购、持币观望,因为只有货币才是没有保质期、没有库存压力的。
而奶农手里的牛奶,则会因为无法变现而滞销,最后把牛奶倒进河里去的,也大多是可怜的奶农。
同样是在那个年代,牛奶的保质期只有一两天时间,如果卖不掉就会腐烂变质,就算奶农想把牛奶送给比自己更穷的人,牛奶的存储、运输、发放,甚至宣传都需要投入大量成本,哪有就近倒了省钱?
而且,奶农最惨的,就是一边明明知道牛奶卖不掉,一边还得继续喂养自己的奶牛、继续给自己的奶牛挤奶。
原因是他们不能因为牛奶暂时卖不掉,就把自己的奶牛宰了,也不能因为牛奶暂时卖不掉,就暂停给自己的奶牛挤奶、减少奶牛的喂食,毕竟未来还要靠奶牛养家糊口,说什么也要先撑一波,撑到牛奶行情变好。
这其实和生产线是一个道理。
罗兰·马斯已经可以预见,玛氏的下一步,就将面临当年奶农面临的困境。
这个时候,他也开始困惑,自己到底是选择硬抗,还是向李牧低头?
负荆请罪,现在综合衡量一下,好像也不是那么难以接受了……
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