376 战略分析
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“你们来之前，我刚和秦教授通过电话。”一哥说。
“教授说什么了？”邱天宁赶紧问道。
“主要是我问了些问题。”一哥道，“教授说，蚁潮的形成源自于蚁群的无节制扩张，最重要的原因就是有足够的食物，蚁潮之所以出现在林州，是因为天气转冷，巨蚁和蝗虫被军方消灭大半，拳蚁找不到吃的，这才被迫离开蚁巢觅食。”
乔易若有所思：“就是说，如果找不到足够的食物，蚁潮就不会出现，对吗？”
一哥点头：“临义的情况你们都清楚，如果今天冬天不把拳蚁消灭，明年肯定会出现另一轮新的蚁潮。”
邱天宁脸色一变，蚁巢里的储备粮都是人类，等于说明天的蚁巢是用人肉供养出来的，他心里能舒服才怪。
乔易的眉头渐渐攒紧：“我可能猜到毛子按兵不动的原因了。”
“噢？”一哥眉头一挑，“我也有一点想法，你先说，我再补充。”
乔易点头道：“蚁群迁徙是为了找吃的，原始森林里的动植物资源只是相对丰富，肯定顶不住蚁潮刮地皮式的席卷，到时候，一定有大批蚂蚁在迁徙途中找不到吃的，最后活活饿死，蚁潮很有可能因为大量失血而中止。”
“还有！”乔易又道，“西伯利亚地处亚寒带，每年的无霜期只有短短三个月，蚂蚁跑的再快，也不可能在这么短的时间内跑完几千公里……”
“甭说是一年，怕是几年也跑不完啊！”邱天宁插嘴道。
“老邱说的没错，拳蚁几年也跑不到欧洲。”乔易说，“西伯利亚的冬天可不是吃素的，那可是零下四十几度的低温！西伯利亚的土著生物，都得提前准备过冬。”
“拳蚁不是当地生物，想想看吧，蚁潮没走出多远，蚂蚁就觉得一天比一天冷，觉得应该赶紧筑巢，赶紧挖洞准备过冬，但是西伯利亚的冻土层最少也有十多米，厚的地方甚至有上百米，想在冻土上挖洞，呵呵。”
“我明白你的意思了。”一哥恍然道，“食物和拳蚁的关系，就像草原上的狼和兔子，没吃的蚂蚁就要饿死，蚂蚁的数量和森林提供的食物达到平衡点之后，蚁群的规模就能固定下来。”
邱天宁道：“就算拳蚁能挖出过冬的巢穴，蚁群肯定饿死一多半，来年春天，剩下的蚂蚁必须从头开始，而且原始森林看似资源丰富，实际上找不到多少吃的，这样一来又限制了蚁群的发展速度，所以明年再次形成蚁潮的可能性非常小，毛子担心拳蚁才怪！”
“就是这样。”乔易说，“老毛子至少有几个冬天的时间慢慢等，他们根本不用着急。”
邱天宁冷笑：“但愿拳蚁挖不穿冻土层。”
“也有这种可能。”一哥乐观地说。
乔易道：“我不大了解生物学，但是我觉得，蚂蚁之类的生物，对气候和温度的变化非常敏感，挖蚁巢应该不至于难倒它们，能饿死一批就不错了。”
“这么一说，我都觉得毛子用不着理咱们。”一哥说，“还有一点，西伯利亚的春天怎么也得六月份吧？再花上一两个月准备……怕是没等拳蚁准备好，冬天就又到了。”
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