第731章 反乌云盖顶
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察哥以惊人的镇定形态，温声道：“陛下，高筑墙，广积粮……”
“闭嘴！”李乾顺暴怒的一拍桌子道：“朕自问不是个暴君！自问也不是容不得说话的小度量之人。亡国气息下其他人或许不敢说话，只敢说这类玄乎词，但那是别人，你是李家血脉，是朕的弟弟，你必须对朕说实话！”
“陛下真的要听实话？”察哥好奇的看着他。
“实话。”李乾顺点头。
察哥低声道：“实话是：若能不败的太惨就算萧合达合格。作为亲自在宋国境内带大军和高方平周旋近一年的人，臣负责的告诉您，没人可以击败高方平。臣刚刚告诉您的广积粮和高筑城不是套话。而是真正保我西夏不亡国的具体战术。”
李乾顺不禁楞了楞道：“具体说说。”
察哥道：“所谓高筑城，就是防守。坚决不能主动出击。静州，怀州，顺州，西平府，兴庆府，在我最后两个精锐军司的防守下，可以形成不败的棋盘大龙，只要不犯大错，高方平再多五倍兵力也奈何我不得。”
“粮食呢？”李乾顺道。
察哥迟疑少顷道：“所谓广积粮，不是萧合达现在的政策。现在这样最终会让我西夏亡国。而若要采取防守战略，那当然得有粮食……于是广积粮的意思是：立即血洗固有党项权贵，征用钱粮，这才是复兴之道，不能在盘剥本已经雪上加霜的百姓。”
想不到察哥的建议竟然是这样。李乾顺真个听得心惊肉跳，脸颊微微抽搐了起来。
这的确是个诱惑，是解决目下的缺粮的办法。但如何能动啊，李乾顺的统治合法性，就建立在这些人的基础上。
察哥掌权后，一直的改革方向就是这样的，但李乾顺始终保守，不敢放任他步子过大，由此察哥当然也得罪了一些人，于是在察哥战败后，迫于各方面压力，李乾顺这才把察哥软禁。
迟疑许久，李乾顺打消了察哥这极其危险的念头，又问道：“除此外，在必须启用萧合达出兵对敌的现在，你可有将后来的局势判断？”
察哥叹息一声，无奈起身，指着墙壁上的区域图：“右厢朝顺军司部主力，不出意外会被萧合达分为两部，驻守兴庆府和西平府两大重镇。而白马强镇军司，则肯定会出怀州，朝白池城、铁门关进宥州，然后遥望夏州，伺机和刘延庆部决战，以解夏州之围困。这一定会是萧合达的战法。”
李乾顺道：“会成功吗？”
“难。”察哥淡淡的道，“高方平不会真的硬啃西平府，不会真的坐视白马军司进宥州为难刘延庆部，所以高方平一定挥师朝东北方向机动，那么路线上看，高方平部主力会在白池城草原一代，阻击白马军司。截住萧合达对夏州的支援。”
顿了顿察哥道：“虽然高方平部只有不到四万，而白马军司拥有五万以上主战精锐可以机动，但是在士气低落，人心惶惶，粮草匮乏，战马都缺乏草料的现在，臣不看好。自石龙关一役后，高方平号称野战无敌。不说白马军司会被全歼，然而一但被高方平牵着鼻子走、于毛乌素沙漠那边缘的无人区牵制住我西夏最后机动力量后，最大概率是我西南方面要出幺蛾子，吐蕃人会趁虚而入，吃掉我仁多泉城要塞，而后进兵西凉府。一但西凉府告急，种师道老贼一定也会出击，血拼吃掉我南方边境最后一个屏障卓洛军司。在这种后院起火的情况下，那些最为丧心病狂的回鸪马贼，会正式进犯我西边屏障甘肃军司。”
察哥总结道：“也就是说，会被动形成，大宋吐蕃回鸪，瓜分我西夏战略要地河西走廊的事实。只有一种情况下能扭转战局，就是白马军司能野战击败高方平部，但是……我觉得那几乎不可能。”
这样乌云盖顶的解读，更让李乾顺想死的心都有了，看着区域图很久，李乾顺不甘心的道：“固然朕也认为，击败高方平部可能较小，但你凭什么认为吐蕃会参与，且他们能打下我仁多要塞？”
察哥苦笑道：“吐蕃在平时的确不敢惹咱们，无奈仁多泉城是仁多一族地盘，当初中了宋国蔡京奸计，又加上集权的需要，仁多宝忠被咱们害了，仁多一族一定会是这种国难时刻的最大不稳定因素。”
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