3282 元首的庙算
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“战前究竟能得到多少法国的赔款,这谁也猜不出来,甚至战争也没有说百分百把握必胜的道理,战争就是一场豪赌……”
“不过任何结果都要有提前的预案,打赢了怎么办,打输了又怎么办,甚至输赢的方式不尽相同会有何种不同的后果,我们都要有提前的沙盘推演的……”
“普法战争我们预测了十六中胜利的结果,并相应的分析了不同的外交关系和局势……”
“同时失败的不同结果,我们预测了足足二十二种……”
“陛下,千万别认为战争是一件容易的事情,以上那三十八中推演,每一套都动员了数百参谋部的成员,还有中情局数不清人的情报分析,甚至还调动了商人、外交官、并参谋了很多西方人的意见……”
“前前后后零零总总大概有……三四万人参与其中,当然其中大部分人并不知道自己在完成什么工作而已……”
三四万人?现场一片低呼,大四喜眼珠子都快掉下来了“啥玩意?就猜测三十八中战争结果,就要调动三四万人工作?”
“吹牛皮吧!”
“住口!”小皇帝狠狠瞪了他一样然后笑着对萧何信说道“将军请讲,师傅大手笔,所做任何事情都是有可能的!”
萧何信怎么会跟太监一般见识,他笑着说道“三四万人并不多,卑斯麦推演普法战争的时候,估计参与调查的工作人员得有十万!”
“别惊讶,这种事情元首看的比咱们透彻多了……”
“在我给元首看家的时候,欧洲的电报我接到了很多,许多细节我了解的还是很清楚的!”
“普鲁士能够战胜法国,其中他们的总参谋制度是在是立下了巨大的功勋!陛下您别不信,很多事情元首讲的比我可透彻多了……”
一场战争,永远都是有备打无备,谁准备的越详细谁就能够获得更大的胜利概率!
在普法战争之前,战争的规模一般都很小,参战的某一方很少把士兵数量扩充到十万以上!
战神拿破仑所打的一次次经典战役,去分析参战各方的兵力数据,基本上都在十万上下打转!
当然了,有人爱吹牛皮把后勤补给的民夫数量也给算上了,这就有点不害臊了!
十万作战士兵,基本上就是普法战争之前,单次战役的兵力极限了!
这其实就是因为受限于当时的通讯技术和后勤补给能力,超过十万作战人员,那就是一场灾难,指挥体系会崩溃的,后勤补给也会一片混乱!
所以古代的时候,你经常看到皇帝下令兵分三路向不同的区域进攻,而很少看见一下子就集中三四十万战兵集中在一场战役里,这是兵法的大忌讳,这是查人酱啊!
大军分成数路,每一路都不会超过十万人的大限,这背后其实就是古人的指挥!
分成三路,那就是三套不同的组织架构和补给体系,正好能满足古代军事技术的极限,既保证了人数的上限也不会突破那个混乱的极值!
当然了,流寇裹挟民众的所谓大军,那已经不是什么军事专业的问题了,那种战争其实是一种社会动乱!
普法战争之前,军事专家们都认为一个指挥、后勤中枢只能控制十万以内的大军,超过这个数字就是一场灾难!
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