1696 无药可救的八旗
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是因为蟹桶边缘很光滑吗？其实不是的，蟹桶很普通，任何一只螃蟹都能轻松的爬上去，但是别忘了螃蟹这种横行霸道的家伙可不懂什么文明礼让。
半桶螃蟹你争我夺都要往外逃，这个爬上去，那个就拖住了他的脚也往上走，然后第三只也上去了，最后一起都掉到桶子底部。
就这么相互掣肘，相互纠缠，相互捣乱，结果蟹桶不用盖盖子也不用人看着，半桶螃蟹基本上都逃不出去。
这就是蟹桶效应，而晚清的官场其实就是这样，八旗和汉臣们就是一只只的螃蟹，相互盯着对方一个个跟乌眼鸡一样。
就说西山大营这三万新军吧，指挥权给谁？其实给谁都不行……给奕?了奕譞乐意不乐意？给奕誴了礼亲王高兴吗？所有人都是这么想的，所有人都对外人抱有极大的戒心。
因为八旗军事集团中就有这种基因，他们很清楚谁手上有兵谁就是大爷，就是祖宗，有权利了他一定会欺负别人压榨别人。
你防着我，我害怕你，全体朝臣如麻杆打狼多头害怕，结果最后就造成了一个奇怪的现象，坐拥一千多万平方公里土地的大清国，最后的军事力量却要靠汉人的北洋来撑场面。
同治之后八旗再无强军，归根结底一个重要因素就是，所有的八旗贵胄们打心眼里都希望有一支强军，但是还都不希望别人有这支强军，都希望是自己拥有这支强军。
越是这样想，人们之间的猜忌也就越大，猜忌越大就会更加掣肘，最后的结果就是大家都想好，但是谁都好不了。
可见，晚清灭亡其根源早在建国初期就已经埋下了种子，争权夺利的八王议政思想死灰复燃，才是清帝国走向绝路的一个重要因素。
想通了这一点，也就能想通历史上甲午战争北洋的失败了，在甲午之前北洋所有增添战舰、快炮、弹药的申请全都被驳回了，甚至北洋水师烧的都是最垃圾的碎煤块，而日本海军则烧的全是高热能的白煤、无烟煤。
这种现象绝对不是一句满清政府腐败无能可以解释的，其中根本的原因还是朝廷内部这种掣肘的平衡所造成的。
你李鸿章都花了好几千万两银子了，还不知足吗？还要添船加炮？你想造反吗？少给你买一条战舰，朝廷其他部门就能多分好几百万两银子。
晚清就是这么一个纠结的社会，一方面他们迫切的希望有一支强大的海军，因为他们被洋人打怕了，也得有点自保的力量。
而另一方面，他们天然就不相信这些手持重兵的督抚将军，别说你汉人了，就连满人自己当这个将军，朝廷都忌惮不已。
其实按照光绪初年的清国国力，满清只要放下内部芥蒂，共同使劲！打造十万人左右的纯西式强军那跟玩一样。
十万纯西式强军能花多少钱？对于一千多万平方公里的清帝国来说，这点钱简直就是毛毛雨，都不用江南的粮饷，从山西、山东、直隶三省随便筹集点钱粮就足够了。
看看后世民国初年军阀混战把，一个省里的军阀就能拉出几十万的西式军队。当年响当当的山西王阎锡山，就靠山西一省起家，最高峰时雄兵四十万，最低谷时也有十万大军在手。
连阎锡山这样背靠一省都能拉出如此实力的军队出来，更何况坐拥全国的满清了，这就足以证明，满清不是没有改革的实力，而是他们压根就不想改。
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