第九十六章 曙光（5）
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华西列夫斯基不服气地辩解道：“明年国际局势也许会生重大变化，国内的情况也会趋于好转，至少不会存在粮食危机等问题。”
“如果继续恶化呢？”
“我说，你们究竟在争论些什么东西？”对互相争得面红耳赤的两人感觉有些莫名其妙的斯大林先看看朱可夫，又看看华西列夫斯基，不知道他们究竟在争论什么，最后只好把目光投向库茨涅佐夫，“您能和我讲讲两个人各自的策略以及以及谁有道理一些么？
“朱可夫同志的意见是连环调兵：先用重兵困住隆美尔所部，引诱德军派遣部队来营救并调动对方兵力和战线，在入冬后利用部分兵力拖住时间，他利用战场空间进行反向进攻由斯大林格勒和莫斯科的重兵集团南北对进，扑向沃罗涅日一线；华西列夫斯基同志的意见是持续后退，引诱敌人露出破绽后从突出部两个底部动正向的钳形攻势，准备一举解决突入的德军部队，力争将战线推回到夏末时期……”库茨涅佐夫凭借着教鞭，在地图上对斯大林勾勒了整体的不同战略构想。
朱可夫的进攻计划一共涉及到动用4oo万兵力：其中，1oo万从中路战场调遣下来的部队负责拖住隆美尔；再用5o万部队加上第一批部队牵制住德军南方集团军群和中央集团军群派遣的援兵；进攻主力是南线斯大林格勒方向的3个方面军1oo万人和北线莫斯科方向的2个集团军75万人，另外还有75万兵力负责各战场间衔接与联络调度。
其核心构想是将德军的中心从中路引向中亚和里海一带，然后红军利用德军来不及回援的在反方向动总攻，整体上称为反向方案，也叫大解决方案。因为红军账面上虽然还有8oo多万部队，但真正能打仗的也就是5oo-6oo万人，其中1oo万左右在远东和西伯利亚不能动，还有1oo左右要扼守要地，出动4oo万基本等于全部兵力都孤注一掷拿出来打。打赢了会有根本性地态势好转，不说占据上风，至少能维持一个相对体面的平手姿态。
华西列夫斯基的进攻计划其实是个防御反击计划，一共需动用2oo万左右兵力：其中，1oo万从中路战场调下来的部队负责引诱德军拉长战线继续进攻，促使德军将补给线拖长到1ooo公里以上，然后从南北两处各自抽调5o万左右部队进行突击，断绝突出部德军的补给通道，逼迫德军后退。在德军撤退过程中，原本持续撤退的1oo万兵力负责回头反击，争取吃掉德军断后的1-2个集团军，将整体战线恢复到夏末时的场面，挫败德军的进攻企图。
其核心构想是将德军中央集团军群和东方集团军群的主力引向乌拉尔山方向，红军利用自己内线作战、熟悉情况且相对更不依赖后勤的特点与德军交手，希望德军在后撤过程中露出破绽，由于无论是战场范围还是动用兵力都小于朱可夫的方案，因此也被成为正向方案或小解决方案。打赢了会带来类似莫斯科反击战的态势改善，但不可能动摇德军的优势，只是要会让对手付出更多、更大的代价，同时战事不可避免地会长期化。
由于红军战斗力的相对孱弱及工业能力低下，两个计划都不可避免地存在缺陷：
大解决方案的缺陷是对战术指挥要求太高，不但第一步要困住隆美尔，第二步还要以隆美尔为诱饵调动德军，如果德军不吃这个诱饵或者说很快就完成解救任务，朱可夫的方案不可避免地会失败；
小解决方案的缺陷是对敌军战略设想要求太急，出点是德国希望尽快找到并吃掉中路战场的红军主力并进而逼迫苏维埃签署城下之盟，如果德军不着急毕其功于一役，完全可以不理睬红军的引诱和挑逗，稳扎稳打步步为营，一直打到1944下半年去。
听完库茨涅佐夫的分析后，斯大林脸色阴晴不定，这两个方案其实反应了两人不同的价值取向：朱可夫一再强调迅媾和，保存元气，所以希望一战定胜负；华西列夫斯基一贯主张以拖待变，以空间换时间，所以希望能极力延长战事进程。好比一个患重病只人，朱可夫主张大手术要么清理顽疾获得新生，要么就干脆准备办后事；华西列夫斯基却主张保守治疗，想等一等看病情有没有转机或有新的特效药（国际形势剧变）
这是两个截然不同的思路，究竟该如何选择，斯大林自己也犯难了：到底是趁着还有点本钱的时候来一把梭哈呢还是逐步止损，以小损失换取继续生存的机会。
“给你们4个小时时间形成完整方案，今天晚上我要召开紧急会议，由政治局和最高统帅部各位同志过目并讨论。”斯大林踌躇着不知道该下哪个决心，便打算把内容交给其他高层议一议，万一将来出现什么问题，自己也有一个体面的退路。
“是！”朱可夫和华西列夫斯基互相看了看对方，然后不约而同地应承了下来。8
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