第八十八章 抽丝论兵势
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这话一说出来，王皿眼中一亮，王奎更坐直了身子，做出倾听之态，刘侃、萧左也留神起来，张咏则眯起眼睛，眼神闪烁。
这些是陈止从几家送来的法家书中发现的，但并不是书中原文所载，而是世家先人的注释和笔记，偶尔涉及时政，虽不能让陈止了解天下大势，却可触及朝廷的些许制度。
宣武罢兵令，是加强中央集权的举动，目的是削弱地方武装，宣武在世时效果不错，等他一驾崩，后面的皇帝就无法维持了，但州郡驻军的增长幅度不大，凑起来的人马也不会多。
“陈兄，你的意思是说这些兵是乌合之众？”王皿倒没有什么忌讳，直接说出来。
陈止摇头道：“不是乌合之众，但不同体系的兵马捏合一起，得经过训练，统一号令、步调、阵法，令兵卒知道左右转向、前后行止，不然指挥上难免出现掣肘，上下级难免积累矛盾，这就容易被离间，你刚才提到，贼军开始骚扰官兵了？”
王皿点头道：“对，日夜骚扰，不胜其烦，搅得军营不得安生。”
陈止沉吟了一下，才道：“这说明贼军急了，他们该是分成几股，轮流骚扰，贼人都是流民，没有粮草辎重，被困于山林，支撑不了多长时间，现在大概到了极限，因此就要骚扰官军，骚扰的越频繁，越说明他们的补给不足，急着求变。”
说到这，他微微一顿，仿佛在回忆，旁人也听出一点意思来了，就都屏息静气的听着。
王奎也好，三位名士也罢，再也没有轻视之态，反而被吸引了心神，至于刘家兄弟，更是惊讶莫名。
很快，陈止就继续道：“这种骚扰行动，疲惫官军只是附带，主要目的是为了调动官军，让官军疲于奔命，算上先前的离间，正是‘佚而劳之，亲而离之’，这是一套战术，骚扰、离间，都是为了让官军混乱轻敌、判断失误、调动迟缓，为突围创造机会！正确的应对方法，是让官军占据地利，不动如山，守住关隘，也别理会骚扰，时刻警醒，则贼军自溃。”
“突围？”这次出声的是王奎，“贼军要突围，恐怕不容易，单纯的骚扰，并不能动摇官军的根基。”
陈止看了他一眼，回道：“不能动摇根基，但可以让官军麻痹大意，分不清是骚扰还是总攻，等贼军集中人马突围的时候，官兵恐怕还没有足够的惊醒，会觉得是骚扰，被贼军趁虚而起，冲出包围圈！”
“这……”王皿犹豫了一下，回想一番却道，“不一定会成功突围吧。”
不等陈止开口，王奎先摇头道：“调动兵马、制定战术的时候，不能以‘不一定’作为根据，要考虑到种种可能，制定相应的计划。”
王皿微微一愣，然后沉默片刻，才皱着眉看向陈止，问道：“那……如果被他们突围成功，又如何能判断他们会来徐州呢？”
“这只是最大的一种可能，贼人会被困于山林，就是因为太靠北了，”陈止心中浮现前世看过的地图，“北方之地，历经战乱，又后于南方被统一，因此重镇众多，贼人不投降、而打算突围，说明心存侥幸，而走到这一步，是因为他们在青州不好发展、生存，如果突围后北上，越往北，官兵越多，和初衷背道而驰，往西的话，则靠近京师，更是兵精将广，现在可不是乱世，贼军往京师和自杀无异，如此一来，方向就只剩下一个了。”
他顿了顿，指了指脚下：“南下，甚至有可能试图渡淮！”
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