0751 进退维谷
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当毛宝还在汝南竭力维持的时候，寿春镇中也已经开始了准备接应的诸项安排。由于本镇有相当一部分民户内迁安置在梁郡、合肥等处，所以寿春本镇的容纳量还是有余出的。但是考虑到汝南这些民众还没有经过组织整编，并不适宜于直接安置在本镇内，所以还是在寿春西境的山岭沟渠之间开辟出一些暂时的容纳所，让南撤回来的民众暂留其中，而后再逐步吸收到寿春本镇。
与此同时，针对撤退的具体步骤和路线，近来镇中也是多有讨论，提出许多方案，甚至沈哲子自己，都在众将陪同下亲自溯淮而上绕着颖口考察退路具体情况以做出更合适的准备。
今次汝南撤防，所要面对的阻拦并不独独只有围困悬瓠的奴军桃豹部。
此前颖口一战，虽然成功逼退了羯奴石虎的中路大军，但是由于淮道泛滥，颖口原本的防御拦截职能被大大削减。而在颖水的上游，羯胡的水军尚是保持着完整的构架和战斗力，并未参与此前颖口一战。
单以水路上的战斗力而论，羯胡这一路水军并不是淮南军的对手。虽然并没有大规模的集结南掠，可是近来也是频频南扰，牵制住了淮南水军相当一部分的精力，而且这一部分奴军也并不专注于在水上决胜，而是侧重于突破淮南军的水路拦截，运载小股奴众过淮侵扰地方，烧杀掳掠，无所不用其极，给寿春西境的防御造成了不小的困扰。这也是沈哲子要将汝南之军抽调回来，以增本部防务之实的原因之一。
至于奴军桃豹所部，这一路奴军多达五万之众，乃是独立之师，既没有参与到颖口之战，所受之影响也小。而且桃豹并无石虎那样的雄心大愿，南来立足未稳便要急于与淮南军决战，而是充分发挥出兵力优势，彻底清扫山野，一步步包围悬瓠之地，让淮南军陷入两难之选，要么大举增兵汝南，要么只能弃防内缩。
奴兵早年流寇四野，如今虽然已经广据中原，但像桃豹这样的旧将，在战术意图上仍然保持着浓厚的流寇作风，对于攻城克地并没有太大的执念，精于以战养战，而人命则就是消耗品的存在。其部近来猛烈进攻悬瓠之地，但却始终没有突入太深，旋进旋退，一方面自然是因为淮南军的固守反击，另一方面也是未竟全力。
很明显，桃豹是打算将汝南人众围困于此，从而吸引淮南军分兵更多投入于此。其人所部并没有大规模、成建制的水军，仅有的一些舟船也是辎重运力，难以直接投入作战。汝南之地沟渠太多，除了淮水干流以外，包括汝水在内都因分流太多而水力不盛，所以淮南水军在这里并不好大规模的集结出动，这对桃豹而言是有利的。
眼下的汝南，如果固守则就是一个无底洞，根本填不满，崩溃未远。撤退的话，同样面对着极大的困难，不独要承受桃豹的阻击，一旦投入兵力太多致使寿春防务空虚，石虎的中军也极有可能会再次南来。
当然这并不是说此前设防汝南就是一桩错误的决定，汝南的防守自有其意义所在，最重要的自然还是对豫南流民的招抚和保全。
今次奴国用兵，征发力度之大乃是立国以来所未有，对民生摧残极大。仅仅在豫南之地，虽然不至于千里之内荒无人烟，但也是竭泽而渔，酷烈到了极致。
大量破家门户，如果没有大力的招抚安置，这些人无疑会在后继的战事中大批死亡。汝南这里设防未久，由此所招抚和转移的豫南民众便达十数万之巨。虽然短期来看这些人过淮会造成极大的压力，但他们也是晋人元气所聚，是未来大举北伐中原的基础。
而且，汝南设防极大程度拖延了奴军桃豹部的前进步伐。如果没有汝南的阻拦，很有可能颖口会战时，淮南军不止要面对石虎强大的中军压力，还要应对来自西面的威胁，绝难在极短时间内取得颖口一战的胜利。
如果单从军事角度来看，镇中既然不打算再在汝南长久维持战线，那么最好的作法无疑是直接将兵力回撤。但这样一来，无疑是拱手将悬瓠数万民众让与羯胡，迎接他们的命运是什么，可想而知。
所以在经过十数日的商讨，沈哲子还是决定尽可能多的将民众接引过淮。除了道义所系之外，这些民众当中的丁壮勇力不乏，乃是极为优质兵源，稍加整顿就可以直接补充入淮南军。
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