1022 晋祚必祸
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不过慕容恪即便颇具才智，但也终究是历练未足。而封弈以北逃晋人的身份被慕容皝雅重信用，自然也不是庸类，略作思忖后便沉声道：“人心难测，虽久历人事者都难度量，更何况南贼极尽心计以惑人，郎君纵然稍有迷失，此刻惊觉也还为时未晚。眼下淮南以大势相迫，所谋绝对不善。唯今之计，我等也该早作旁计，不可长久困顿于此，转行再往江左未必不是一个出路。”
“前往江左？这怎么……”
慕容恪听到这话，脸色陡然一变，旋即便觉得自己显得过于失态，忙不迭又将话锋一转道：“我倒不是质疑长史，不过淮南、江左本就一体，沈大都督殊功创建，已成晋室雄臣。我等若在淮南难进，去了江左又有什么不同？届时反要被人视作浮游不定，不能推心信重啊！”
“更何况，长史常言南人崇虚浮躁，少作切实之谋。沈大都督纵有狂傲姿态，但能痛击贼赵于河北，可知确有殊人之才。如此人物，不该不知若能得与我部联合，才可南北钳制石虎孽种。至于眼下推托不见，怕是也因旧隙难作弥合，不敢轻作信任。如此才更该疾言力请，若因此小挫便抽身而去，这也不是能够共作患难的姿态啊！”
听到慕容恪这一番陈辞，封弈已经几乎能够确定此子的确是已经有了私计谋划，所以才要在淮南恋栈不去。
不过他也并不即刻拆穿慕容恪，只是长叹道：“若果如郎君所言，我等在此再作长留又有何妨。但结果究竟如何，也实在未定，但辽中局面危急，也实在是熬不起。至于郎君所言淮南、江左一体，这也实在未必。晋祚失德，君臣早有失位，才有各方勇力逆取，各自逞能。父子尚且不能袒怀，何况远邑强藩！”
慕容恪听到这里，心头蓦地一跳，眨眨眼掩饰一下不自在，而后便作继续倾听状。
“郎君近来长于淮南时流相伴，难道就没有听说去年此境合肥惊变？当时此境王师新胜，竟为难免郡国刁难，而沈维周恃功而骄也全无相忍之念，悍然出兵夺其治邑。此等行迹，与悖逆何异？可见晋祚看似复兴在望，实则隐患早生啊！”
封弈讲到这里，眸光更是闪烁不定：“我近来也在思忖，沈维周一个南乡貉奴，或许连辽乡何在都不清楚，何以一直要与我等辽众为难？得知此事后才算是略有所得，因其南虏之身，实在难得中国故人信重，大功之后难免孤立，因是才要强悍震慑于人。但如此一来，难免要与时流公卿更远。我等辽众虽然地处偏远，但名分总是晋藩。沈维周强阻辽众，就是为了让晋室绝信于远藩，方可更加凸显其人其势！”
听完封弈这一番分析，慕容恪真的是震惊到瞪大了眼。他是真的没有想到看似声势渐起、复兴有望的晋祚之中，居然还隐藏着这么凶险的裂痕与隐患。而且听封弈的意思是，那个沈维周应该早已经心存逆念，未必是做一个全于始终的忠良晋臣。
若真是这样的话……
慕容恪呼吸都忍不住变得急促起来，此前他强撑着与温放之一起往来交际，纵然有什么私计的话，也仅仅只是为了保全自己而作筹划。可若中国形势果真如封弈的分析，那么这当中更是蕴藏着极大的机遇啊！
如果他能侧身其中的话，淮南将不只是他的安身所在，甚至借于此势扶摇直上都有可能！沈维周若真有逆取之心，正如封弈所言，以其南人身份很不容易，正需要得于声援众助。
而且封弈也说，辽地虽然边远，但早已经落入其人谋算之中。那么自己为质于此，是送上门来让沈维周借以介入辽地局势的一个途径啊！
淮南之繁荣势大，慕容恪近来也是多有领略，远非他们辽荒能及。甚至就连父亲这样的雄才者，都不得不迫于现实而向此低头。若他能够得到淮南的大力支持，来日返回辽乡必能有所作为啊！
封弈自觉已经看透慕容恪心里那点盘算，但却仍小觑了慕容氏子弟心里那一点逆念的顽强，没想到他这一通分析反倒加剧了慕容恪投向淮南的想法，仍在那里自顾自的分析道：“来日郎君不妨向那温放之稍作透露我等想要假道过江的心意，也算是一种催促。若淮南真的没有诚意详谈，我等便不妨直往江左，或许还能别有转机。沈氏眼下名位尚是强镇，还不敢真的强阻藩使朝见。”
慕容恪这会儿心意已经全不在此，听到封弈的话后也只是随口敷衍几句，只在心里盘算借势淮南的可能。若淮南真的肯大力扶植他，他倒是不敢与父亲敌对，但他那些兄弟们才力也没有过分超过他，休想让他完全服从！
而且更重要的是，若日后晋祚真有南人逆取之祸，必然会混乱不堪，这也是他摆脱淮南控制、自立辽地的一个良机。
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