第十章 却惭横刀问戎昭(17)
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折可适感觉那群贼人就像一抹晨雾，消散在日出之后。否则那么多人的追踪，怎么会一点踪迹都追查到？
“并不是突然间不见，而是先退回沙漠，然后绕了个圈南下。麟州的连谷县外，就在两天前有一个村子被夜袭攻破，村里的情况与丰州相同，当是同一伙贼寇所为。”韩冈笑了笑，笑容中却没有一丝温度，“麟州的马递走得快，比遵正你早一步到太原。”
“麟州？！”折可适失声。之前还往沙漠里逃去，现在就又到了麟州，追在他们身后的自家精锐肯定是被他们在半路上甩掉了，“跑得还真是快！”
“以遵正【折可适字】你的看法，这伙贼寇的规模有多大？下一个目标会是哪里？”韩冈问道。
“规模很好推算，战马千匹，但人数只在三百到四百人之间，跟契丹骑兵一人三马的情况很相像，而如今的铁鹞子，因为连年向辽国进贡，已经只能勉强配起一人双马了。只是他们下一个目标……”折可适苦恼的摇摇头，“这还真是猜不到，是牵制河东兵马，还是想引开经略的注意力，都是有可能的，也都能解释得通。不过……”
“不过什么？”韩冈追问。
折可适迟疑着，吞吞吐吐的说道：“只是末将觉得，关于这伙贼寇的来历，其实还有一种可能，能够说得通。”
“遵正也觉得他们可能是阻卜人？”韩冈漫不经意的问道。
“经略你……”折可适这一次真的惊得跳了起来，瞠目结舌，“怎么……”
韩冈微微一笑，示意折可适做下，“这还要多谢遵正你，要不是你说贼人用了西夏的箭矢，却没有为马蹄镶上蹄铁，我也想不到这一伙贼寇，竟然可能是草原上的阻卜人。”
太原府经略安抚使司衙门里的白虎节堂中，有着河东路最为精细的沙盘和舆图。河东周边势力在上面都有标注，其中也没有漏下西北方的阻卜。更重要的是京城中关于怎么对付辽人，由天子主持的军棋推演已经进行过不知多少次，而动摇辽国的根基，从辽国的外藩身上入手就是最简单有效的手段，高丽、女直、阻卜是最常出现的字眼。
折家直面辽国和西夏，心神全被这两个庞然大物所侵占，很难让他们的思维发散出去，折可适能够大胆猜测，已经算是难能可贵了。
而韩冈这般从京城出来的显宦，多次在武英殿上参观天子的军棋推演。当他得到了折可适带来的详细情报，就像是被拼上了最后一块碎片的拼图，却不用太多猜测，就推断出贼人最有可能的身份来。
“拥有西夏的箭矢，却没有西夏、契丹已经流传开来的蹄铁。杀戮劫掠的风格与契丹人迥异。还喜欢用夜袭。这是我们所知道的这群贼寇的几条特征。”韩冈向折可适和黄裳解释自己的思路，“由此来推断一下。他们所拥有的西夏箭矢，肯定来自于西贼的武库。没有蹄铁，那就不会是铁鹞子、皮室军，而他们在村寨中犯下的罪行，也确认了这一点。”
“至于夜袭，可以有各种各样的解释，隐瞒身份是一桩，为了减少伤亡同样也是一桩，没办法确定。将之丢到一边。只考虑前面几点，那么答案就很简单了。临近西夏的部族，又有足够的实力帮助西夏，就只有阻卜。遵正，我说得可有错？”
“经略说得正是。”折可适不知道韩冈一言即中的缘由，投向他的视线里平添了几分敬畏：“阻卜人受契丹所困，铁器绝少，箭矢甚至多用骨箭。出兵协助西贼，肯定从西贼武库中得到了许多兵器，故而箭矢皆是出自西贼。此外，他们援助西贼，必是先得到了契丹的命令，至少是首肯。没有西贼提供的的好处，阻卜不会赤膊上阵，没有契丹……耶律乙辛的允许，他们也不敢南下援助西夏。”
“嗯，没错。”韩冈点点头，“正是这个道理。”
“以末将之见，阻卜南下的兵力当不会少，太少了，未免就太丢大辽尚父的脸。”折可适语带讽刺，“不过太多也不至于，一来西贼养不起，二来阻卜人也没那么大的实力。”
韩冈完全认同折可适的判断，将种的绰号并不是白叫的。他沉吟着：“由此看来，阻卜至少五千，应当不会过万。”
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