第38章 统计学
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“陛下，小民生计，只怕没有这么从容。发赏数月前就已经传出去，应得赏钱的人必定早已想好，有的人要换房，有的人要娶妻，有的人想好好吃一顿，钱哪里存得住？”
徐平嘴里说着，脑子飞快旋转，想着怎么解释钱多了物价一定会涨的道理。人数众多的非理智行动，必然不会出现即时存钱的事情，这个年代却不好分说。
盛度在一边插口道：“徐平说的是，小民生计，家无余财，哪里能够存得住？市面上铜钱多了，物价总是要涨一涨的。不过京城过百万人，两三百万贯铜钱也当不得什么。”
徐平正色道：“不然。微臣在邕州，也曾因为蔗糖务发赏钱，及与交趾作战之类发赏钱，出现物价动荡。当时便让属僚统计了一番，以先前邕州而论，一人只能当得一枚多铜钱，市面上铜钱再多，物价必定上扬。如果一人当三枚铜钱，物价就要涨上一倍。当然京师不同于邕州，大户富人众多，各种生意也多，所需铜钱也多。”
赵祯听了有些惊奇：“这种事情，也能仔细算计？”
“自然是能，只要有心去做就能做到。”
赵祯见徐平说得认真，看了身边的盛度一眼，正容道：“京师一百多万人，需要多少人力才能做这等事情？你是不是还有特别的法子？”
“当然不能一个人一个人地去问，只要在每厢划出一小片，以此类推即可。”
“这当不得真吧？国家大事，如此做太儿戏了些！”
见赵祯的脸上有些失望，明显觉得徐平这方法太平常，本来还以为有多么高明的秘术呢，原来只是以小推大。
徐平也没法仔细说统计学的原理，只是道：“以小可以见大，只要方法得当，肯下功夫，慢慢去做总能把握住事实。”
赵祯心里是一千个不信，看看盛度，心里有些后悔。今天应该叫冯元来的，他精研易学，这些神神道道的事情，或许他更能与徐平对上话。
盛度是个老成精了的人，见了赵祯和徐平两人的神情，圆场道：“这事情徐平在邕州做过，或许真有其术也未可知。如今他管着商税案，不如就让他去计算一下，此次献俘大典之后，京城物价有没有上涨，涨了多少，与他推算相去几多，岂不是好？”
赵祯看着徐平：“如何？可能计度清楚？你在邕州虽然多有政绩，回京师之后却要从头做起，这便是我给你的第一件差事。”
“臣领旨——”
徐平本来想说我回去先写个奏章，把计划说清楚，想想还是算了。这年头好像都喜欢留点神秘，把什么话都说明白反而行不通。中书最后计议的结果竟然是让许申去用秘法铸铜钱，而且还让他仔细保管秘法，朝廷竟然不问。这里面有吕夷简的推动，当然最重要的是如果搞砸了还有内藏库兜底，但能定下来就很让人惊奇了。
（备注：有学者研究指出北宋市面流通铜钱与人口大致相当，书中采用此一观点。）
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