第664章 壁上观
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刘修在薄县休息了一夜，第二天就继续进兵。更多小说ltxs520.com一路上，斥候往来飞报，不断的将济水最新的战报传递过来。孟达带领的军谋团哪怕是在行军图中也没有闲着，及时根据最新情报对推演沙盘做出修正，以便刘修在行军间隙能够从整体上对战场做出判断。
战场上的形势变化多端，斥候再精明强干，毕竟还是人，他们不可能对所有的情况都一清二楚。双方大战时，他们只能在远处看着，根据双方的旗帜、金鼓来大致猜测评估双方的胜负，要想真正做到巨细无遗那是不切实际的奢望，即使是在科技昌明的二十一世纪，有各种强大的科技做后盾，要想做到这一点也不可能。
所以即使军谋团做出了最大的努力，刘修得到的依然是带有大量不确定信息的结果，里面有各种可能，甚至有虚假的息，这些都需要刘修在做最后的决策之前进行判断。有了军谋团的作用，就在于他不会陷入一个人的思维误区，不会做出很低级的误判，相对于依靠个人心智的其他将领来说，出错的可能性要低一些。
“将军，曹操有怠战的嫌疑。”孟达将最新的分析结果双手奉到刘修面前，开门见山的说道：“昨天他前进了三十步，今天一天下来，不仅寸步未进，反而倒退了五十步。袁绍的大军已经有三分之二渡过了济水，如果再这么打下去，我们估计明天曹操的阵地就有可能被攻破。”
刘修接过来看了一遍，这份分析结果写得很简洁，还附了一张手绘的地图，双方的位置都标注在上面，一目了然。
“嗯，我知道了。”刘修赞了一句：“继续保持监视。你们也别太累了，你和子家（阎圃）轮班，注意休息。”
“喏。”孟达退了出去。
“你们来看看。”刘修招招手。把虞翻和郭嘉叫到跟前，自己端起一杯水，慢慢的呷着。虞翻和郭嘉很快看完了分析结果，并没有什么意外表情。他们一直在跟进这些事。对双方可能出现的情况都有心理准备。
郭嘉和虞翻交换了一个眼神，首先开了口：“曹操有怠战的可能，但是我想，眼下还不到时候。他这么做，应该另有用意。”
刘修看看他，示意他继续往下说。郭嘉清了清嗓子，这两天一直在不停的说话。他的嗓子有些发炎，声音沙沙的，少一些年轻人的清脆，多了一些沉稳。
“首先，曹操需要这个功劳，他不可能这么轻易的放过袁绍。其次，以他的实力，绝不至于一天都坚持不下来。所以。我觉得他这可能是故意的，要么是他想后退一步，避免逼得太紧。以至于伤亡过大，要么他有另外的手段。”
“他能有什么手段？”刘修沉吟道：“两军对垒，势均力敌，这时候拼的就是实力，阴谋诡计之类的未必有施展之地。再说了，袁绍这个人虽然计缓一些，有些犹豫，但他可不是一点也不知兵的新手，曹操要想和他玩手段，只怕没那么容易吧。”
“袁绍是大象。曹操是老鼠。老鼠和大象对阵，出奇兵完全是可能的。”虞翻翻开了军谋图的分析结果，指了指其中一条。刘修瞟了一眼，心中一动：“洪水？”
“嗯。曹操就是本地人，他不可能对这里的气候不熟悉。袁绍虽然是汝南人，但他从小大部分时间就在洛阳。对兖州的情况恐怕不会有袁绍这么熟悉。审配等人都是河北人，也未必对这里的气候了如指掌。一旦下起暴雨，洪峰来临，袁绍的浮桥就会被冲没，他的大军也会被洪水断为两截。这样的话，曹操只要对付已经渡过济水的袁军，有兵力上的优势，袁军如果没有准备，被洪水一冲，甚至可能不战自溃。至于在济水南岸的袁军，那就顺理成章的要交给我们来对付了。”
刘修眨眨眼睛，再看看郭嘉，郭嘉也点头道：“我同意仲翔的猜测。曹操向后退了五十步，说不定就是想把袁军引入地势低洼之处，而自己却占据高地。只是我们现在不清楚现场的地形，不能肯定曹操是不是这个想法。但不管怎么说，只要没有意外情况出现，曹操再坚持一到两天，逼得袁绍断粮是没有问题的。”
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