三百四十八 关键的棋子
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“正是因为天行有常，我们才能掌握季节，掌握节气，掌握农耕的时节，借助这些知识，让我们的农民可以生产出更多的粮食，正是因为我们掌握了这些规律，所以我才知道，如果晚上看到星辰布满天空，明天就一定是个晴朗的天气，反之则不然，袁公，这不是天行吗？”
袁黄哑口无言。龙腾小说网ltxs520.com
“既然我们可以预料到明天的天气，就意味着天行有规律，只要掌握了这个规律，不说阻止，至少可以避免天灾所带来的危害，不是吗？为什么我们只能预测明天后天的天气，而不去试着预测往后数年的天气？不要拘泥于每天的晴雨，而去试着发现每一年的气候变迁！
袁公，遍阅古籍，我发现了一个规律，一个天行的规律，每当古籍中记载旱灾，气候寒冷，夏雨雪的时候，都是北地蛮夷南下的高峰期，而相反，风调雨顺的时节，往往是咱们对北地蛮夷发动反击的时候，您有没有想过这是为什么？”
“天气冷，北地蛮夷就没有水草养育牲畜，就没有吃食，不得不南下掠夺，我们遭遇大灾，没有足够的粮食养兵，难以抵御，天气温暖，则北地蛮夷不缺少食量，无需南下，而我朝则有力动兵夺回人口领土，便是如此。”
萧如薰点头：“对！这就是一个天行的规律，袁公你不是知道的吗？还有，正是因为天气温暖，气候暖湿，粮食牲畜生长繁荣，吃食充沛，所以百姓才能生育孩子，人口则会不断增多。
而一旦天气变得寒冷，粮食产量锐减，那么之前的大量人口将无可避免地面临断粮之危，粮食不够吃，就会出现饿死人的情况，就会出现流民，然后北地蛮夷再次南下掠夺，我们又无力反抗，对吗？严重者则会灭国。
比如金人南下，辽灭国，宋失北地；蒙元南下，金灭国，宋灭国，这些人生活在北方好端端的，为什么非要南下？仅仅是因为中原繁华？大家都是一样的人，粮食够吃衣服够穿，为什么非要打仗？
因为气候寒冷，他们原本的驻地无法生存下去，为了生存，他们不得不南下掠夺粮食，因为他们在温暖的时候生育的大量人口也面临没饭吃的困境。
而此时此刻，北地蛮夷身强体壮全民皆兵的优点就体现出来了，而我们因为地方缺粮造成的混乱，还有边关缺粮，士兵缺粮，导致没有战力，没有组织，一溃千里，遂有灭国之灾！史籍中所记载的一切正好证明了末将所思所想的正是实情，而非揣度与猜测！
历朝历代中原王朝分崩离析，并非仅仅是因为土地兼并皇帝昏庸，更是因为气候转寒，大量北地民众无法生存，没有粮食吃，不得不造反以求生存，气候温暖的时候有大量人口，他们需要吃饭，气候转寒了，他们还要吃饭，但是此时就没有那么多粮食了，为了活下去，他们不得不造反，并不仅仅是因为没有土地，更是因为有土地也长不出粮食！”
袁黄已经被完全震住了，若论四书五经，十个萧如薰绑一块也不是他的对手，若论现在的这些气候变迁天行有常，十个袁黄绑一块也不是萧如薰的对手。
于是袁黄咽了口唾沫，艰难的开口了。
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