第76章 密约（三）
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谈到拂晓时才罢，林缚与秦承祖、林梦得、孙敬轩、李书义等人离开驿馆，出西城门往紫琅山东麓的东衙走去。龙腾小说ltxs520.com
“罗献成率兵南进，很可能会直接掐到蕲春，就算两湖不乱，从两湖的粮食也过不来。粮食严重匮乏也许会到明年才会体现出来，但粮商的反应不会慢。一旦所有粮商都收口子，江东的粮价就会应声而涨，”林缚说道，“罗献成率兵南进之时，就是江东粮价飞涨之日。”
“依大人所见，粮价会涨几成？”孙敬轩问道。
“至少要涨到跟山东看齐，才能暂歇，”林缚说道，“从海东运粮补济淮东的事情，要立即做起来。我是脱不开身，谁能脱身往济州走一趟？有些事情在信里怕是说不清楚！”
“我走一趟吧！”林梦得说道，“也没有谁比我更合适了。”
林缚点点头，这时候谁都辛苦，谁都歇不下来，说道：“暂时先拿海东的米粮补济两边，再往后，还是要看形势能不能好转了！”
秦承祖摇头轻叹，说道：“我看难。河南已经打残了，陈芝虎率部南下，即使短期内能平定河南的局势，同时也迫使流民军大规模的往南转移。罗献成率兵南下，看似偶然，实则必然，而江宁对此又缺乏清醒的认识，不出大问题才怪！”
林缚默然无声，他在北线视察时，意识到罗献成可能会率兵经蕲春南下，宁王府、总督府、江宁兵部都去了函，也给顾悟尘写了私函，提醒此事，建议从江宁水营抽调部分兵力溯江西进，到鄱阳湖口戒防流民军渡江。
江宁包括顾悟尘的反应，都只是向两湖、江西郡司发函勒令地方加强防范，没有分兵协防之意，而荆湖方面更担心长乐军会攻打江夏、荆州等城，江西对此则根本没有反应。
如今江浙、江西等两地，兵力都被迫集中到南线，封堵浙闽叛军北上的口子，罗献成一旦率兵南进，到时候再手忙脚乱的调整部署，还不晓得会混乱成什么样子。
“对奢家来说，也许根本就不需要罗献成能率兵渡江进入江西，只要长乐军南进打乱江浙及江西的部署，他们就有机可趁！”林缚说道。
“长乐军南进，奢家想要利用这个机会，其注意力放在西线，兵力也必然部署在西线，”孙敬轩说道，“我们是不是可以抓住这个机会，一举将岱山、昌国拿下来？”
“怕很难，”秦承祖说道，“河南、淮泗的局势稳定不下来，我们部署在山阳、泗阳、沭阳一线的兵力就抽不出来，能用来打岱山、昌国的兵力实在有限得很。虽说能预料到奢家的重心会放在西线，但其部署东线的精锐再少，我们想到啃下来，难度太大！”
虽说江宁军议时定下淮东联合海虞军攻打岱山、昌国，牵制浙闽叛军的基调，但淮东这边并没有一举将岱山、昌国拿下的决心。
淮东如今在嵊泗防线部署的兵力以靖海第一水营、崇州步营为主，就算将崇州这边的兵力都抽出来，在嵊泗方向最多也只能集结一万五千左右的兵力。
奢家在东线的防御，以明州府为核心，水师主力集中在明州府，又在岱山、昌国诸岛建造坚固岛寨、岛城，形成完整的岛链防线。即使奢家主要是想从西线突破，其部署在东线的兵力，步军加水军，兵力也不会低于三万，淮东拿什么去啃下岱山、昌国？
秦承祖是用兵谨慎之人，自然不会支持孤注一掷的战法。
淮东拟定的作战计划，是秋后，利用水营战船的优势，将浙闽水军遏制在内线，这边逐步的蚕食奢家的外围岛礁，压缩奢家在明州府外海的岛链防线。要等时机真正成熟之后，才会花大力气去攻打岱山、昌国的主岛。
在军事上，秦承祖的意见自然要比孙敬轩重要。虽说东线有机会，但能不能抓住机会，也是要看实力的。
众人都一宵未眠，林缚、林梦得、秦承祖甚至赶回来，连家都没有回;临到东衙，天色渐明，林梦得想起一事，跟林缚说道：“我与陈氏叔侄说过，希望海虞县能将部分桑园改种米粮，不过看陈氏叔侄的意思，兴趣似乎不大，犹寄望形势能在三五年之间好转，是不是再跟他们就这事沟通一二？”
“我看不用，”秦承祖说道，“已经有过提醒，我们也算仁义已至。真要让海虞县米粮能自产自足，那我们每年往海虞县输入二十万石米粮，意义就不大了！再者，仅陈家听从我们的意见，改桑种粮，于整个江东郡的大局势并无明显益处——我看没有必要专程再就这事提醒陈家。”
林缚将手背在身后，想了片刻，说道：“既然都提醒过了，话说二遍，未必能讨喜，随他们去吧！”
林缚这么说，林梦得便也不坚持什么。
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