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第817章 入选金球奖候选名单

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其中世界杯冠军西班牙有7名球员入选,他们是哈维、伊涅斯塔、阿隆索、普约尔、法布雷加斯、比利亚和卡西利亚斯。世界杯亚军荷兰有2人入选,他们是罗本和斯内德。

高小冬没有参加国家队的比赛、鲁尼在南非世界杯上的表现是负分,他们都是凭借着俱乐部的表现入选的金球奖大名单。

而梅西和C罗俱乐部成绩惨淡,世界杯也没有拿出像样的表现,他们是凭借着超强的个人能力和人气入选。

按照原来的评选规律,非大赛年,往往是欧冠冠军得主的核心获得金球奖和世界足球先生,而大赛年往往是获得世界杯和欧洲杯的球队核心获得金球奖和世界足球先生。

按照以往的规律,带着国际米兰获得三冠王,并且拿到了联赛和欧冠双料射手的高小冬拿到金球奖的可能性很小,因为他没有世界杯成绩,而世界杯冠军得主西班牙的双核哈维和伊涅斯塔的可能性最大,而随着国际米兰拿到三冠王,又在世界杯上获得亚军的斯内德也有不小的可能。

但今年的金球奖和往年不一样,由于《法国足球》评选的金球奖已被国际足联成功“招安”,与世界足球先生合并、统称为“国际足联金球奖”。合并后的“FIFA金球奖”评选规则也发生了重大变化,将征集全世界的208名主教练、208名国家队队长和208名世界媒体记者进行投票,最终选出唯一一名最具权威性质的足球先生。

由于评选规则的变化,往年的规律就不一定起作用了,现在谁也不好说最终会选出什么样的金球奖得主。

媒体认为,由于投票者全部来自资深的足球界人士,因此一名球员在球队战术体系里的核心性,将成为投票者做出抉择时的主导因素。哈维、斯内德和高小冬都符合这一条件,但斯内德只有在荷兰队是核心,而高小冬只有在俱乐部是核心,根本就没有国家队成绩,只有哈维和伊涅斯塔是国家队与俱乐部的双料核心,因此哈维和伊涅斯塔的获奖可能性最大。

如果哈维和伊涅斯塔是一个人,那么几乎是肯定赢得金球奖,但因为他们两人都入选,有可能导致选票分流,获奖的概率反而变小了。

哈维和伊涅斯塔的概率变小,则意味着高小冬和斯内德可能性的增加。

高小冬在2010年取得的成绩全部来自俱乐部,因此高小冬的价值仅限于“欧洲俱乐部赛事”,而非“世界足坛”,另外由于高小冬是黄种人,在欧洲主流评价体系中,黄种人是受到歧视的。因此媒体判断,高小冬虽然在俱乐部打出了超神的战绩,但恐怕也很难像外星人罗纳尔多一样逆袭成功。

如果斯内德没有率领荷兰赢得世界杯亚军,他甚至连入选的资格都没有,但现在他在世界杯大放异彩,国米的三冠王就成为了他的加分项。

在欧洲博彩公司最近公布的几次金球奖赔率中,伊涅斯塔处于领跑地位,哈维、斯内德、高小冬、梅西分列二三四五,不过伊涅斯塔领先的优势很小。

梅西是金球奖获奖赔率中最没有底气的一个,他俱乐部和国家队的成绩都不好,鉴于2010年金球奖将由各国记者与主教练、队长共同投票,因此金球奖的最终结果也必将综合性地体现出过去两个版本金球奖的全部特点,即球员技术、战术性与人气度。尽管梅西成绩不好,但他的人气度和技术是23名候选人里最强的,如果评奖结束前,梅西再有连过五人六人进球的超神发挥,谁也说不好他能不能爆出冷门,蝉联金球奖。

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