第二七九章 问君此去几时还，来时莫徘徊 （中）
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“是！”陈恪想了一下，答道：“下官家乡，因为地处西陲，又毗邻吐蕃、大理、交趾等藩国，求学时常怀百岁之忧，所以一直钻研西南的军政民情，只是资质愚鲁，一无成就可言。”
“不必过谦！这在大宋是一门绝学。你能留心钻研，足见不凡。”韩琦道：“你对这次侬智高投奔大理，有何看法？”
陈恪那日跟官家的奏对，其实只是泛泛之谈，拿来唬那些不知天下之大的文学之臣绰绰有余；但在有武相之称的韩琦面前，就显得不够了。是故他不能不出言谨慎。
仔细斟酌一下，他才缓缓道：“下官以为，侬智高乃如李元昊一般的心腹之患，朝廷万不可重蹈覆辙，让其死灰复燃。现在他离开广西，投奔云南，其实已如无根之木无源之水，正是捕杀他的最佳时机。”顿一下道：“而除了侬智高本身外，更重要的是大理国……大理国与我大宋数州相连，且北接吐蕃，南邻交趾，其对我大宋的国防安危极为重要。”
韩琦缓缓点头，虽未有赞许之词，但神色间深有所思，显然对他的话十分重视。
“恕下官直言，大理国所统辖的土地，自秦以来，历经两汉、三国、两晋、南北朝，隋唐一直是历朝历代不可分割的一部分。唐末至本朝以来，先有南诏，后有大理，这才脱离了朝廷的管辖。而本朝由于重北轻南的战略，以及对大理人先入为主的误解，一直刻意疏远他们，对他们保持戒备，在下官看来，这是不对的。”
“哦。”韩琦笑道：“错在哪里？”
“不错，非我族类其心必异，由异族建立的政权，如辽国、西夏、交趾，乃至原先的吐蕃、南诏，都对我〖中〗央朝廷构成了严重的威胁。现实中一个个活生生的教训让朝廷对大理保持警觉乃至疏远，但这种认识太主观武断。具体问题必须具体分析，不能因噎废食。”
“嗯。”韩琦点点头，示意他讲下去。
“朝廷向来把大理国当作南诏国的延续，认为南诏国极富攻击性，所以他们也是危险的。事实上大理与南诏截然相反，南诏热衷扩张，大理却热衷内斗，且其国内佛教盛行，民众对大宋又多有亲近之情。”陈恪一针见血道：“说白了，这是个像大宋一样温和的政权。他们的当权者从未想要越出大渡河，对我国的边陲构成威胁。”
“嗯。”韩琦终于露出赞赏的目光道：“你能看明白这一点，说明是有真才学的。”话锋一转，却呵呵笑道：“不过照你这么说，侬智高肯定在大理掀不起大风浪来，我们可以不必去理会了。”
“相公在考校下官。”陈恪淡淡一笑道：“四夷之乱，始于人心之不臣。故有犯我强汉者，虽远必诛，以震慑人心。再说如今大理内部三家纷争，保不齐有哪家想要倚仗侬氏的势力，压倒另外两家，虽无意针对大宋，却会给侬智高一个翻身的机会。大理国物产丰饶，人、马、铜、铁样样不缺，真要让侬智高扎下根来，不出数年，他就能东山再起、杀回广西。”
“再者，下官方才便说过，比侬智高更重要的是大理本身。下官以为，大理有三个不得重视的理由。”陈恪屈指道：“第一，其物产丰饶，盛产我大宋最紧缺之银铜、马匹；其二，广源州之南，是比侬智高危险十倍的交趾国，其国民卑劣成性，虽俯首称臣，却常有侵略上国之心，我们若能收服大理，可使其钳制交趾。同样道理，又可用交趾钳制大理，此运用之妙，自然无需下官赘言。其三，收服大理，与我们的国策并不相悖，因为虽然是我们对付西夏的盟友，但却是建立在其赞普唃厮啰的个人意愿上。一旦其改变主意，或者后继者倒向西夏，后果将不堪设想，而大理在吐蕃背后，控制茶马商道，不仅是其重要的供给地，更有锋刃抵背之威胁。我们收服大理后，不管吐蕃赞普是谁，都要掂量一下两侧受敌，后援断绝的危险，不敢倒向西夏。”
“好！好！”韩琦拊掌赞道：“状元郎名不虚传，老夫这枢密使之位，将来非你莫属。”
“相公过誉了。”陈恪赶紧谦虚道。
“收服大理的好处，我完全认同。”韩琦沉声道：“但是，朝廷如今的状况，你想必也很清楚，是不可能再起战端，把大理也变成我们的敌人的。所以，朝廷能做到的，不过是虚张声势，实际上，一兵一卒都不会跨过大渡河，这种情况下，怎么收服大理？”顿一下道：“大理是有过，成为大宋藩属的请求不假，但那是几十年前的事了，谁知道，如今他们是何态度呢？”
“这就必须亲自去接触了。”陈恪沉声道：“正好借侬智高这件事，试探一下他们的态度。”
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