第1542章 俄罗斯的机会
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“普、京有什么动作?”
蔡睿宸沉声问道。更多小说ltxsba.com?????笔???趣?阁??w?w?w?.?b?i?q?u?g?
普、京这几天确实是很忙碌,几乎可以说两脚不沾地。
在来到杭州之前,普、京突击视察了西部军区的战备情况,并且进行了一场实兵实弹演习,一切都充满了突然性。
在过去的两天时间中,俄罗斯和乌克兰之间的问题,也都是阴云密布。
在克里米亚和乌克兰之间的关卡上,俄罗斯特种部队抓到了几个乌克兰特种部队的间谍,俄罗斯在这一点上,表现相当的愤怒,当局指责乌克兰政府组织执行了生在克里米亚的恐怖袭击事件。
俄罗斯总理梅德韦杰夫甚至已经开始就与乌克兰彻底断交的事件,故意放出风声。
普、京突击检查西部军区的战备情况,也是项庄舞剑意在沛公。
“普、京正在秘密接见土耳其的总统。”娜塔莎回答道。
听到俄罗斯和土耳其两个国家领导人的秘密会晤,蔡睿宸基本上已经了然于胸了。
虽说距离俄罗斯对乌克兰动武还有很远的距离,但战争已经可能成为未来俄罗斯解决乌克兰问题的选项。
这一点并非乌克兰本身的局势决定的,而是中东局势的演化可能给俄罗斯用战争手段解决乌克兰问题提供新契机。
由于俄罗斯不像美国、老家这样的国家处理国际问题手段很多,俄罗斯经济实力不行、制造能力不行,最有效的手段就是军事,因此对普、京来说,能用军事手段解决的问题就不会用其它手段,这既是普、京手里能打的牌决定的,也是俄罗斯人处理问题的思维习惯决定。
所以,对普、京来说,是否用兵乌克兰取决于战争手段能否解决问题而非其他。
事实上,自乌克兰陷入内战以来,乌克兰东部没有一天停火过,只是冲突大小而已。
所谓的停火,是大规模的作战暂时不见了,但小规模的冲突从未结束,这实际上不仅拖累了乌克兰,也拖累了俄罗斯,所以普、京是想战决地解决乌克兰问题的,不想继续拖。
过去,普、京之所以没有用军事手段,根本原因在于不是普、京不想用,而是用了之后只会带来更大的麻烦,这种失败概率远远大于成功概率的事情普、京一定不会选择。
由此,如果能够确认军事手段可以搞定乌克兰问题,那么普、京就一定会用。
而能否搞定不取决于俄罗斯的军力,而取决于大国博弈中是否有契机,直白说就是美俄博弈的格局是否给普、京出兵的机会。
普、京是否出兵乌克兰,牵扯的到的不单单是伊叙联邦以及中东的问题,还有就是土耳其的问题。
因为伊叙联邦的关系,俄罗斯在中东损失的不单单是叙利亚的本国利益,还有就是和土耳其的关系。
另一方面,在这一场战争之中,伊朗这个俄罗斯的小兄弟被美国干掉,对于俄罗斯的打击也十分的沉重。
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