第六百七十四节 凛冬将至
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经济危机之前的数年间，美国建造了两倍于实际需要的铁路。平行铁路恶性竞争，竞相削减运费，使铁路经营入不敷出，银行及投资者纷纷抛售铁路股票和债券。1883年伦敦市场上美国的铁路股票价格跌至面值以下→路投资骤然萎缩。1882年至1883年，机车产量由2282台下降至8oo台，即下降65%『炭产量下降7.5%，生铁产量下降12.5%，棉花消费量减少15.4%，甚至一直增长的钢产量也下降了1o.7%，出口减少13.4%，进口减少22%。从1882年到1886年，批物价指数下降24.1%。萧条持续了四年之久。
显然这又是一场生产过剩引的经济危机，大明也不能不受到影响，因为美国市场，已经是大明最重要的工业品生丝的第二大出口市场了。
事实上，今年大明的生丝出口已经开始下滑，朱敬伦知道，凛冬将至，有一个漫长的经济衰退期要来了。
这一次大明不会在像上次经济危机期间那样，被动的承受经济危机的打击，朱敬伦决定采用行政手段，扶持经济度过未来艰苦的几年时光。
第一，作为一个后国家，大明的工业生产远远没有到过剩的程度，大宗工业品钢铁和棉布都是净进口国，上嚎年进口的棉纺织品已经达到三千万两的规模，九龙的进口额也过两千万两，只要进行关税保护，能够有效抵制英美纺织品的倾销，就能给大明资本家保留一个庞大的国内市场，棉纺织业还将继续展。
第二，继续推动铁路建设，大明的铁路建设，可没有形成美国那样的投机狂潮，别说平行铁路了，连第一条铁路网都还没有形成呢，有的是建设铁路的空间。推动铁路建设，能继续创造一个巨大的钢铁市惩机械设备市场。钢铁和机械产业还将持续展。
有钢铁机械和棉纺织工业两大支柱性产业的持续展，大明受影响的产业只可能是对国际市忱赖过大的茶叶和生丝。
只要钢铁和纺织业的展度，能够弥补茶叶和生丝的损失，经济危机对大明的影响就不会大，因为资本主义经济危机，主要是投机引起的生产过剩危机，大明的各项工业产业还远未达到过剩呢→史上，日本直到19oo年才爆了第一次资本主义性质的经济危机，大明现在的工业化水平，显然还没有19oo年的日本工业水平高，市场却比19oo年的日本大，只要政策措施得当，这抄济危机不会咋滴。
朱敬伦的指令让政府中的技术官僚们一致惊慌起来，这时代西方人应对经济危机的办法往往只有一个，那就是采权货紧缩的办法，政府节湿支。主要目的是维持经济危机中的货币信用，因为每一次经济危机，都伴随着金融恐慌，银行遭到挤兑，总有大银行破产。
而朱敬伦的办法则是反其道而行，采用宽松的货币政策继续刺激经济，技术官僚担心这会造成大明货币的再一次崩溃，因此他们集体谏言，不希望政府采用行政手段扩大投入。
这又是官僚集团的因此集体性行为，是又一次对皇权的违逆，大明官僚们越来越会独立思考了。而且朱敬伦现，他们已经牢牢控制了大明的政治，真正的成熟了起来。
在之前，他们甚至解决了军人集团对政府行为的干涉，悄无声息的将少壮派势力分化瓦解了。
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