第三十七章 全新策略
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李虎在书房里想了，直到罗青汉等人匆匆赶来，李虎还趴在地图上凝神沉思。龙腾小说ltxsba.com
李虎招招手，请众人坐到自己身边。罗青汉、董小丑、铁鹰、黄涉、霍六哥、柴云六个人分别坐在了李虎两侧，他们的目光都被地图上的粗大线条吸引了，因为这条粗大的线条越过了太行山，直指西京。
难道总帅改变了策略，要打西京？六个人面面相觑，一时无法理解这种策略。
李虎没有说话，还在低头沉思。
过了一会儿，罗思南来了。她看到义军中枢都在屋里，不禁愣了一下，因为她没有资格参加这种高级军议。她以为自己来早了，冲着众人惟一礼，转身要走。李虎把她喊住了，指指自己的身侧，示意她坐到自己身边，“这件事关系重大，你也来听听。”
罗思南略感疑惑，不知道李虎要宣布什么重大决定，乖巧地坐在他的身后。
“我们南下后，策略上一直存在着一个重大错误。”李虎语出惊人，“我们一直固执地以为契丹人实力强大，即使现在耶律余睹带着十万大军投降了女真人，我们还以为契丹人依旧存有固守半壁江山的实力，所以幻想着在辽东构建三分格局，但这个策略完全是错误的，因为自护步达岗大战之后，契丹人其实已经不行了，不是军队实力不行，而是宫帐，是他们的中枢完全失去了控制。”
黄涉、柴云若有所思，罗青汉等人却是凝神细听。
“我们再回头仔细想想这几年发生的事。”
大辽皇帝带着七十万大军东征女真，期间耶律章奴试图发动兵变，耶律淳拒绝篡僭，出卖了耶律章奴和自己的大舅子萧谛里，结果大辽皇帝为了稳定宫帐。匆忙回撤，导致护步达岗大败。
这件事我们一直以为耶律淳是为了顾全大局，但仔细想一想，可能不是这样。耶律章奴和萧谛里如果没有绝对把握，胆敢造反？耶律淳杀了萧谛里，出卖了耶律章奴后，耶律章奴曾带着两百多契丹贵族造反，由此可见此次兵变规模之大。既然有把握，规模也大，为什么耶律淳拒绝称帝？关键在于篡僭。名不正言不顺。
兵变未遂〈道理耶律淳根本没有活路，但他却一步登顶，做了都元帅，为什么？很明显，耶律淳利用这次机会控制了大辽军队，严重打击了大辽皇帝的声誉，摧毁了他在大辽人心中的神圣地位。皇帝不敢杀他。其后耶律淳屡战屡败，皇帝却没有任何惩罚。这可不是信任就能解释的事，而是耶律淳有足够威胁皇帝的实力，皇帝动不了他。耶律陈图奴是耶律淳谋夺帝位的第二个牺牲品。耶律淳为什么要威逼皇帝立皇统？皇帝为什么不愿意立皇统？很简单，皇帝担心耶律淳控制了小皇帝，继而控制大辽权柄，为他下一步登基称帝做好准备。
耶律余睹是第三个牺牲品〈道理，耶律余睹是东北路统帅，皇帝不会不知道诛杀文妃牵连其亲族所带来地后果，但皇帝为什么还要杀？耶律余睹即使不逃亡。他还可以发动兵变，这同样可以给皇帝致命一击，但皇帝为什么执意要杀文妃并展开诛连？很明显，耶律淳在皇统一事上已经胜券在握，皇帝为了阻止他，不得不铤而走险。
这三件事连到一起，我们可以做出如下估测，耶律淳深谋远虑，从很早以前就可以谋划夺取帝位。但为了名正言顺。为了能在夺取帝位后迅速稳住国祚，他处心积虑收买人心以便为自己登基称帝铺平道路。但今日的大辽皇帝也不是一个白痴，和耶律淳斗智斗勇，屡屡利用形势迫使耶律淳忍痛割爱，出卖自己的兄弟朋友，结果耶律淳事如愿违，不但人心没有收买到，反而寒了兄弟们的心。耶律余睹的背叛不仅仅是对大辽皇帝的背叛，也是对耶律淳的背叛。
大辽君臣之间的血腥厮杀，导致大辽屡战屡败，以致于现在国祚濒临倾覆，旦夕不保，但即使在这种情况下，双方还是舍命相搏，谁也不愿拿自己的脑袋来挽救大辽。
所以，大辽必亡，再也没有挽救的可能，即使耶律淳做了皇帝，他也失去了挽救大辽地机会了。
“对大辽形势地错误判断导致我们制定了错误的策略，但现在我们还有修正的机会，还有扭转形势的时间。”
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