第四十五章 皇帝的决策
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如果不和叛军决战，那西京守不守？能不能守住？
“弃守西京。龙腾小说网ltxsba.com”萧奉先很有魄力，大嘴一张，把皇帝和一帮大臣们吓了一跳。
弃守西京？弃守西京意味着什么？意味着五京俱失。很明显，如果辽军不战而退，把西京留给李虎，那李虎马上就能占据山后九州，然后越过居庸关和紫金关，调过头来再打燕京。
女真人正在打中京，如果李虎指挥叛军东西夹击燕京，耶律淳肯定守不住。五京俱失，大辽江山等于丢掉了一大半，只事一片万里大漠。契丹人依靠这片万里大漠和大漠上的蕃种诸族，能够东山再起吗？
答案是否定的，若想东山再起，势必登天还难。
“就目前形势而言，最现实的，也是最可行的保住大辽国祚的办法，就是三分辽东。”萧奉先倚仗皇帝的宠信，张嘴就把别人不敢说的话说出来了。
这句话皇帝不爱听，不高兴了。你叫我保存实力，不战而退，我可以接受，但你说保住大辽国祚的办法就是三分辽东，未免太过分了吧？
萧奉先当然不会惹皇帝不高兴，他接下来的一句话马上就让皇帝相信这个世上对他最忠诚的人就是萧奉先。
“大宋的军队至今没有动。”萧奉先说道，“三年前，我们就知道大宋皇帝主动结盟女真，要联金攻辽，三年后，辽东形势已经天翻地覆了，按道理大宋军队应该北上攻击了，但为什么迟迟没有动静？”
皇帝和大臣们面面相觑，都在思考这个问题。的确，大宋的举动太反常了。大宋不可能放弃这么好的机会放弃北伐，唯一的解释就是它蓄势待发，正在等着最佳的攻击时刻。
“大宋北伐。几十万军队一拥而入，请问我们守得住燕京，守得住西京吗？”萧奉先问道，“虽然我们有意割让山前七州给大宋，以此来换取大宋的援助，但此时此刻。大宋会上当中计吗？不出意外的话，此计最多只能延缓大宋北伐，而根本无法阻止大宋北伐。”
“大宋地地军队进来了。它地实力最强。不管是我们。还是李虎。或者是女真人〖不是它地对手。如此一来。燕云丢失。我们和女真人两强对峙。请问。以我们目前地实力。挡得住女真人吗？”
皇帝心中畏惧。沉默不语◆得里底和耶律马哥等人则是一脸不屑≡萧奉先这句话嗤之以鼻。在他们看来。大辽五京才失其二。大辽还有二十多万军队。依旧有能力和女真人决一死战。但前提是。非要把你们这帮无耻地主和派杀掉才行。
“更为严重地是。当我们和女真人在北方大漠上互相厮杀地时候。大宋却可以坐山观虎斗。等到我们和女真人奄奄一息了。就轮到大宋人出手。实现中外一统之大业了。”
皇帝和大臣们霍然醒悟。知道大宋为什么迟迟没有北伐了。大宋地目标不是燕云▲是中外一统。所以大宋人认为最佳地攻击时机还没有出现。里。走到了地图旁边≡皇帝说道。“对于大辽来说。当务之急是保存实力。忍辱负重。等到实力恢复。机会来临。我们再夺回五京。重山河。”
机会？什么机会？皇帝疑惑不解。
萧奉先详细解释。
李虎得到西京，马上就会打燕京。耶律淳守不住。肯定要撤。如此可解耶律淳兵权，诛杀耶律淳及其党羽，整肃宫帐，内外齐心。
李虎占据了燕云，女真人占据了东北路，辽东形成三分格局，三足盯，互为牵制。
大宋此刻怎么办？辽东突然出现三分格局，肯定让他们大吃一惊，于是匆忙北伐。大宋人首先就要打李虎，以便夺回燕云，重建中原屏障。李虎若亡，北方辽金两国随即受到大宋的威胁，因此都会竭尽全力帮助李虎。我们远在大漠，可以给予适当的种，而女真人就不行了，他们的地盘紧邻幽燕，唇亡齿寒，不打也得打。三国在幽燕混战，这时候就是我们复国的机会。
反之，如果我们现在和李虎决战，赢了固然是好，但赢了则存在一个严重的问题，那就是皇统和耶律淳。皇统不解决，耶律淳不解决，大辽宫帐一直处于混乱状态，这个胜仗打了也是白打，将来不过白白便宜了大宋人和女真人而已。
输了那就全完了，不但西京丢失，大辽国祚也是岌岌可危，尤其令人登的是，输了陛下手上就没有兵了，而耶律淳则可以带着十几万大军撤到大漠，请问那时陛下怎么办？任由耶律淳肆意宰割吗？
所以仔细权衡得失，这个仗不能打。只要陛下有军队，有实力，又有万里大漠，那大辽的国祚就不会崩溃，陛下就永远是大辽地皇帝。
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