第六十三章 有得必有失
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“大宋肯定要北伐了。更多小说ltxsba.com西京已经被我抢到手了，如果燕京再被我抢到手，大宋怎么办？大宋皇帝会甘心受制于我，接受我的要挟和讹诈？绝不会，大宋皇帝拼了老命也要北伐了。”
“耶律淳呢？他只有死守中京和燕京，中京若失，他只事燕京了，这时候，他会如何选择？是篡僭称帝，还是以燕京为赌注，周旋于女真人和大宋人之间，确保自己利益不失？”
“假若我们也打燕京，和辽西实施东西夹击，那么幽燕就热闹了，四方势力纠集在一起，一番混战之后，谁是最后的胜利者？”
李虎目视众人，沉默良久，忽然微微一笑，“在我看来，幽燕战场上的最后胜利者，肯定是坐山观虎斗的人。”
这是肯定的，契丹人‘真人、辽东汉人和大宋人为了争抢幽燕，打得头破血流，最后便宜了谁？不用说，当然是契丹皇帝了。契丹皇帝不是笨蛋，身边还有一大群聪明的文臣武将，他们当然会估猜到未来的幽燕局势。
“如果我预料不错的话，契丹皇帝会在大漠上征召蕃军，甚至有可能向西夏人借兵，而西夏人为了浑水摸鱼占便宜，极有可能以此为借口出兵黄河。他们等到我率军东进幽燕之后，马上就会越过长城打西京。那时我顾此失彼，西京可能失而复得。我没能攻占幽燕，又失去了西京，等于全盘皆输。”
在座众人渐渐听明白了，李虎又要改变预定计策了。
“总帅的意思是，明年暂时不打幽燕，而是以打幽燕为诱饵，把契丹皇帝诱到西京，再给他以重创？”黄涉问道，“那么，幽燕如果给女真人或者大宋人夺去了怎么办？难道总帅想放弃幽燕。转而全力经营代北，以代北为根基逐鹿天下？”
李虎颇为赞赏地看着黄涉，连连点头。还是跛子聪明，一眼就看穿了自己的心思。
“这两天我一直在想，以我义军现在的实力，现在的状况。我守得住燕云吗？从朔州的偏关到锦州，有将近两千里，地形长而狭窄，我怎么守？我拿什么守？就算军队可以扩招，但我哪来的钱财？我在短短时间内又如何稳定各地州县并马上获得钱粮财赋？时间，一切都是因为时间不够，时间太少了，我们没有任何办法在这么短的时间内膨胀实力，所以。从现实出发，从未来出发，从保存实力出发。我们把根基之地放在代北，仿效当年北魏拓跋氏，先在长城南北养精蓄锐，然后再南下逐鹿天下。”
西京的地形得天独厚。它的东边是燕山，东南面是太行山，南面是恒山、云中山和吕梁山，西面是黄河，北面是长城。就这个地理位置而言，或者就中原来说。太行山和并恒诸山只能算是第三道屏障，第二道屏障是长城，第三道屏障是阴山。
自秦、汉、唐以来。中原和北虏往来征伐。其战事最多最激烈地地方〖是在阴山一带。所以。义军若想在西京站住脚。仅靠长城远远不够∝须继续北上⊙阴山南部地云内州、东胜州、丰州和奉圣州地北部州县全部拿到手。也就是占据代北。如此方可确保西京地安全。建立稳固地大后方。继而才能获取南下逐鹿天下地资本。
所以。李虎把原定计策改了。明年不是打幽燕▲是北上打契丹皇帝。收复阴山以南地汉唐故土。在代北打下一个大大地根基之地。
但是。这引出来一个问题。
按照预定计策。义军在攻占燕云并且立足之前。要确保辽东三分格局。这样才能有效牵制女真人‘得发展地时间。但李虎现在北上打契丹皇帝。要把契丹皇帝赶到阴山以北地大漠里去。那辽东哪来地三分格局？没有三分格局。女真人一泄而下。或者大宋人北伐成功∧燕被别人占去了。义军同样很握。因为义军未必有足够时间在代北立足。代北处在契丹人、西夏人、大宋人和女真人地四面包围之中。假若义军不能迅速立足。后果可想而知。只能做马贼或者占山为王做山贼了。
“我们首先确保辽东三分。”李虎胸有成竹。不紧不慢地说道。“乘着这个冬天地时间。我们想办法把耶律淳推上帝位。让他在燕京登基称帝。”
四分辽东？众人霍然醒悟。黄涉更是拍案称赞。“好计。好计……”
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