第十二章 草原雨季
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“拿下西京，不但可以解决肚子问题，还能全取代北，控制整个战局，所以金军不会放弃，他们会拼命进攻。这正是我所需要的。”
李恢指地图上的云内，手指在丰州、云内州、天德军和东胜州几个地方画了一个圈，“我们先把金军拖住，消耗他们的兵力和粮草牲畜，等到他们发现自己的肚子要挨饿的时候，他们只好分兵攻打云内。”
“耶律马哥有这个时间做缓冲，可以重整辽军。等到金军杀进云内，他可以保护大辽皇帝，向阴山方向撤退。金军杀到黄河边上，他们的对手就换成了党项人。当党项人和契丹人联手‰金军在云内交战的时候，我们就可以反攻了。”
“根据我的估计。那应该是一个月或者两个月之后地事，而那时大宋应该攻克了燕京，如果大宋愿意援助我们。那时大宋的援兵也应该到了，我们有能力发动反攻。”
“金军在代北两线作战。面临契丹人、大夏人、大宋人和我们四家地强大联盟，它还能有什么做为？它最好的选择就是退出代北，固守辽东一隅。”
李虎的整个战局构思基本上出来了。
先在大同一线拖住金军，其后迫使金军分兵攻打云内，然后结盟于辽、夏、宋。待时机成熟，则果断出击。
这里面有个最大地不确定因素。那就是大宋人的态度。大宋人有养虎为患地顾忌，他们会不会给援助？如果不给，那么大宋拿下幽燕后，会不会继续和金国结盟打山后？
“我们要想击败金军，只能靠自己，不能靠别人。”“大草原上的雨季是夏天，要维持两个月左右，也就是说，从下个月底开始，塞外要下雨了。如果金军未能在一个月内攻克云内。掳掠到大量的牲畜，那么他们就要陷入困境。”
“如果我们在大同一线把金军拖到雨季来临。如果金军的粮草和牲畜不能维持到雨季结束，代北战局会发生什么变化？”
李虎面带笑容，眼里露出一丝得意之色。
“就大同战场而言，雨季对于防守方来说，是个好消息，对于攻击方来说，却是个坏消息。”
“金军在下雨天攻打大同，攻击难度会大大增加，尤其金军是以马军为主，步军则大多是辽军降卒，这些降卒不是女真人，他们也没有得到女真人的好处，他们有什么理由为女真人牺牲生命？在德州战场上，我们和金军数次交手，自始至终，没有和女真人地军队打过仗，由此证明一点，女真人不到关键时刻，不会动用女真人的军队，因为他们要用自己地军队威慑和镇制其它蕃族军队，假如他们的军队损失严重，女真人还能控制其它蕃族军队吗？过去的辽军变成了金军，但战斗力不会因此就突然提高，所以我们完全有把握击败这些所谓的金军。”
“金军攻击受阻，他们就要想办法扭转这种不利局面，正好粮草牲畜又不足，他们随即就会打云内。在雨季打云内，对金军显然也不利，首先他们不熟悉地形，其次河流暴涨，道路艰险，不利于野外作战。”
“金军受困于大同，又受困于云内，只要任何一个战场出现问题，只要他们在其中一个战场遭受重创，女真人的代北之战就算完了，兵力不足和粮草牲畜不足将成为他们的致命要害。”
“所以，在我看来，没有大宋的援助没有关系，因为我们也罢，女真人也罢，都不可能把这一仗拖到雨季之后。至于大宋攻占幽燕后，会不会和女真人联手打我们，谁都无法预料，但只要我们能在最短时间内击败金军，把金军赶出代北，大宋即使有心打山后，它也要看看代北的局面，要知道它的对手不是我一个，而是三个。”
十五日凌晨，李虎召集各军军帅，把自己对代北战局的分析和未来攻防之策做了具体阐述。
各军军帅对战局地确很悲观，但听了李虎地话后，士气陡然振奋。
金军和义军相比，主要是兵力上的优势，但它致命要呵粮草和牲畜无法长期峙。另外，大草原地雨季马上就要来临，这对义军有利，而契丹人还有一口气在，他们还能峙，还能出面结盟大夏共抗女真，所以代北战局还是大有消。士气起来了，其它的事就好办了。
李虎下令，撤回杀虎口和镇川堡一线，把饮马河一带的百姓全部撤进大同，不给女真人留下任何东西。
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