第二十一章 致命错误
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“这个……”关忠也不好回答，他模棱两可地说道，“契丹皇帝失去人心，德州之战辽军又几乎全军覆没，他们一无所有了，能够在代北坚持到雨季来临就算老天庇了。”
“如果契丹人能坚持到雨季，那么女真人结盟蕃族共抗大宋之策是不是要拖到雨季之后？”李虎急切问道。“那是肯定的，雨季大约两个月，正好给了女真人结盟的时间，到了月之后，我们估计就要面对所有的北方强虏了。”
“也就是说，四个月之后，女真人就会形成蕃族联盟，诸蕃大军都会赶到代北，是吗？”
“哪有那么快？我的意思是说，代北的形势要这样发展而已。”关忠摇手道，“女真人和党项人结盟的速度应该很快，但大漠诸蕃就不一定了。因为大漠上还有契丹人地西北军，而契丹人为了生存，不会放弃大漠。大漠诸蕃若想挣脱契丹人的奴役，还需要一段时间。另外，大漠诸蕃和女真人有仇。每次大漠诸蕃叛乱，契丹人都会征调女真人去平叛，所以他们之间的仇怨非常深，女真人想和他们结盟。难度很大，除非女真人确实强大了，强大到可以征服大漠了，否则大漠诸蕃是不会臣服于女真人的。”
李虎微微皱眉。
按照关忠的说法，女真人和党项人很快可以结盟，但只要契丹人还在大漠，大漠诸蕃即使和女真人结盟了，也不会南下代北，因为他们首先要击败契丹人。但问题是，假若契丹人失去了大漠，这些大漠诸蕃会不会南下代北？
“大宋人还没有打到阴山。女真人和大漠诸蕃又有仇，所以他们即使迫于形势和女真人结盟了，南下代北地可能也不大。”关忠说道，“相反，他们会觊觎代北，想成为北方雄主，他们有可能在女真人的背后下黑手。”
“也就是说，不管有没有契丹人，女真人和党项人都会联手打我们▲大漠诸蕃则有可能打女真人，是吗？”李虎问道。
关忠点了点头，“以我看，契丹人不会丢失大漠，否则他们就要灭族了，他们应该能在大漠坚持下去，并且和大漠诸蕃结成联盟，共击女真，但前提是。我们不能打到阴山。假若大宋的军队到达阴山，那么女真人、党项人、契丹人和大漠诸蕃必然要联手抗宋。在生存危机面前，北虏会齐心协力，仇人也会变成兄弟。”
李虎沉思良久，手指地图说道：“以你的看法，金军目前要以主力攻打云内以消灭契丹人，同时结盟党项人，然后联手共击大同。如果金军在雨季来临前击败了契丹人，在雨季结束后结盟了党项人。那么三个月后。我们就要和他们在大同决战了。”
“是地。”关忠说道，“若想拖延这场决战。最好地办法就是乘着金军攻打云内地时候，在大同一线发起反击，重创金军，这样就能帮助契丹人在代北坚持下去。契丹人坚持下来了，和大宋联手攻击女真人，那么女真人和西夏人地结盟必然会延缓，因为西夏人不知道女真人是不是有量击败大宋，党项人要观望一段时间才能做决定。”
“反击？”李虎看看地图，问道：“在哪里反击最合适？”
“杀虎口。”关忠说道，“杀虎口的地形十分险峻，两侧高山对峙，其东依塘子山，西傍大堡山，两山之间有开阔的苍头河谷地，形成了一条长约三里的狭窄走廊。这是一个天然关口，是决战的好地方，我们就把战场放在这里。”
“镇川堡地形较为平坦，尤其在镇川河两侧大都为平原，有利于金军的进攻。”关忠接着说道，“这一仗首先要在镇川堡打响，让金军误以为我们把主力都放在了镇川堡一线，只待金军以偏军攻击杀虎口的时候，我们就给其致命一击。”
李虎微微一笑，问道：“你愿意去哪个战场作战？”
关忠心头微跳，意识到李虎可能要让自己统兵出战，当即说道：“杀虎口。”
“那好。”李虎说道，“你招募的新兵一部分用于补充各军伤损，一部分用来组建义胜军。我暂时给你三个将地编制，你看怎么样？”
关忠大喜，急忙跪下谢恩，“总帅，我有一帮老部下，能不能……”
“义胜军的事你全权处理，我让帅府配合你。”李虎一边把他扶起来，一边说道，“你想调什么人都可以，我马上让他们去义胜军上任。”
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