第59节：发现自己中了计
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战争是双方将士的斗智、斗勇、斗力。揣摸、分析、判断对方指挥员的作战意图、心理状态是至关重要的前提条件。
天津攻克后，平津战役前线指挥部作战图上的各色箭头，都指向了北平。林彪等人“日思夜想”的人，就是傅作义。对这位国民党华北“剿总”总司令，他的心态、意向、情绪，甚至起居、交际等情况，林彪了解得清清楚楚。聂荣臻对此曾写道：
北平的地下党组织，在刘仁同志领导下，为了配合当时的军事斗争和政治斗争，正积极进行着各种活动。他们利用各种关系，获取了大量情报，源源不断地供给平津战役指挥部，使我们对敌情基本上做到了一清二楚。他们甚至通过傅作义的女儿、我地下党员傅冬同志了解掌握傅作义将军的各方面动态，劝她父亲不要跟蒋介石走。
傅作义将军的神态、言谈、情绪变化，傅冬同志都及时、准确地了解清楚，然后，每天通过地下电台，向平津战役指挥部报告。
几十年来，我打过许多仗，能够如此及时地了解对方指挥官的动态，还是不多的。这对于我们做出正确判断，下定正确决心，进行正确部署，具有重要作用。
因此，北平一战是一盘没有对手的弈战，它注定是一面倒的结局。但是，对于如何解决坐困守死的几十万国民党军队，平津战役前线指挥部却有不同看法。
聂荣臻力主和平谈判，通过改编的方式解决北平问题。他认为，“天津是北平唯一的海上退路。现在天津已被攻克，北平之敌成了困在陆地上的旱龙，饥馁疲惫，没有转机。根据北平地下党组织提供的情报，傅作义在严峻局面的压迫下可能考虑和平解决北平的问题。”
罗荣桓赞许地点点头，他对在地图前踱来踱去的林彪说：“林总，聂总的意见是好的。北平是七朝古都、文化名城，又有几百万和平居民，如果战火蔓延，势必把整个北平城打得稀巴烂。玉石俱焚，太可惜了。况且，党中央已决定定都北平，如果毁于战火，对国家建设也没有好处。”
林彪脸上没有表情。他仍在作战室模型盘边绕来绕去，慢条斯理地说：“你们的想法很好，不过，很可能是一个很美的幻想。”
聂荣臻进一步解释道：“在平津地区，我军占绝对优势。北平工事不强，守敌又是惊弓之鸟，如果在进行大量工作之后，傅作义仍然拒绝和平，我们掌握主动权，随时可以打嘛。”
“战争是获取和平的最好途径和最简便的方法。和平谈判根本是幻想，还是要靠打来解决。”林彪仍固执己见。
聂荣臻无可奈何，最后只好直接向毛泽东发电，提出在打下天津之后，争取和平解放北平。这是整个平津战役期间，聂荣臻单独给毛泽东发的唯一一份电报，也是三十多年后中央档案馆唯一查找不到的一份电报。为此，“文化大革命”期间，有人别有用心地置疑历史上是否真有这么一份电报。但是，当年亲手拍发这份电报的唐永健老人清楚地记得，电报发出后，聂荣臻天天追问他：“中央有没有回电?”
回电终于来了。毛泽东表示完全同意聂荣臻的提议。林彪见毛泽东已经表态，没有再反对。但他习惯了战场上的硝烟、炮火和厮杀，对谈判桌上文绉绉的外交辞令、满面笑容下的讨价还价并不擅长，也不感兴趣，便把和平谈判的问题全部推给聂荣臻、罗荣桓处理。
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