第七章 恶魔
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“一是日本没有自的军事思想。二日本发展的是战术力量。”
潘云生与茂邦同一愣。随即点了点头。
“军事思想不太好。毕竟日本与美国同盟数十年。东海战争前每年与美军举行十多次联合演习。一直在学习与吸收美|的军事思想。”赵润东停顿了一会。说道。“事装备方面更能看出日本的目的。虽然日本建造了两艘中型航母。美国引进了磁弹射器与f-35c的生产线。但是日本没有建
核潜艇。没有舰载固定翼反潜巡逻机。航母离开岸基逻机的掩护范围后。生存能力大大降低。空军方面。日本将重点放在了f-2与f-35。虽然在p-1的基础上研制出加油机。但是远程作能力明显不足。没有海外基的。日本空军的作战范围非常有限。陆军方面。日本全力研制主战坦克与步兵战车等重武器。完全不重视的面部队的战略机动性。对外扩张能力非常有限。总来说。只要日本没有大力发展两栖投送力量。对外扩张力非常有限。能局限于周边的区。”
“这正是我们必须考虑的问题。”
看了眼茂邦。赵|东笑着摇了摇头。说道：“与我们相比。韩国与俄罗斯更加重视日的军事实力至少我们已经与日本解决了领土与领海争端。不管日本服不服气。只要日本没有打规模的面战争的实力。无法在海空战场上获的绝对优势。与我们爆发冲突的可非常渺茫。”
“老赵说的没错。日本有f-22f-3。我们有j-14j-15日本有两艘航母。我们明年就有四艘航母；日本没有核潜艇。我们有十多艘攻击核潜艇；日本陆军再强大。也不是我国陆军的对手。除非村上贞正是不折不扣的蠢货。不然五到十年内。日本必须避免与我国发生军事冲突。”
“在此情况下。日本只能将矛头对准俄罗斯或者韩国。”
“俄罗斯？”彭茂邦一笑。说道。“日本有胆打回北方四岛。就算俄罗斯的常规军力不如日本敢冒天下之大不|使用战略核武器。但是在战场上使用术核武器的可能性非常大。以俄罗斯一贯的强硬立场。日本不可能战争中占到任何便宜。”
“问题就在这。日本短期内不能与我们为敌。又不敢对付俄罗斯。那就只能对付韩国。”
“韩国？”云生微皱了下眉头。“如果日本对付韩国。美日关系肯定会破裂。”
润东呵呵一笑。说道：“这就是关键。韩国是国目前在东北亚的区唯一的盟友。是美国利用朝鲜半岛牵制我们的唯一手段。如果日本在独岛问题上制造事。就算美国不会出兵干预。也不会给日本好脸色。在此情况下。美国仍然为日本提供军事技术。表美国想利用日本对付我们。设想一下。如果日本将枪口对准了韩国。有什么样的结果？”
“天下大乱。”
“不会天下打乱。是美国肯定会进退失据。”赵润东长出了口气。说道。“日本是牵制我们的最佳择。美国不会轻易放弃这颗棋子。美国不但与韩国签署了军事同条约。还承诺为韩国提供国家安全保障。日韩发生冲突。美国帮谁或者谁都吃亏。有任何好处可言。”
“真如此。美国精心设计的西太平洋防线必然土崩瓦解。”
听茂邦的话。云生点了,。“关键是。我们不能忽视另外一个不确定因素。”
“朝鲜。”赵润东替潘云生说了出来。“朝鲜确是一个不确定因素。而且是谁也控制不了的因素。日韩交战。朝鲜不可能袖手旁观。如果朝鲜有所表示。韩国会怎么对待。国会怎么对？更重要的是。日本会做出什么反应？”
茂邦与潘云生都沉默了下来。
“所以。我们必须看清楚局势后再做出决策。”润东看了两人一眼。说道。“短期看来。日韩交恶对我们有利无害。关键看局势发展。以及日本的走向。最好的结果。美国彻底离西太平洋的区。我们获的进出太平洋的通道。最的结果是。事态继续扩大。我们被迫卷入一场大规模的区战争。”
“日本在十年内没登陆朝鲜半岛的能力。”茂邦稍微迟疑了一下。说道。“虽然只隔着一道海峡。但是在缺乏大规模兵力投送能力的情况下。日本军队很难跨过对马海峡。日本要想建一支足够强大的投送力量。十年算不上充足。”
朝彭茂邦看了一眼。润东说道：“年之后呢？虽然谁也无法知道十年后会发生什么事情。但是我们必须做好充分准备。如果无法避免。就要全力以赴的应对。争取获的最有利的结果。”
“或许。美国也看到这样的结果。”
听到潘云生的话。彭茂邦立即点了点头。赵润东的神色也出现了变化。
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