第三部血火抗战 第五章 主政西南 第六节 波澜起(七)
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“大部分到了，物资局那里有统计，另外庄文革最关心的坦克工厂也进入安装阶段，大部分设备都到了小但其中的发动机设备还没到。他已经催了几次了。”
“第五军继续扩编，这是我们战略预备队，以后要扩编为一个集团军！全部苏制装备。”蒋介石沉思下说，苏联提供的武器足够编组一个集团军。
“委员长，五战区的准备也需要一个多月”白崇禧提醒道：“特别是大别山地区，二十一集团军兵力和武器装备都不足，急需补
“弹药只有这么多，电告宋子文，抓紧时间从美国进口，动作要快，争取在欧战爆发前送到国内。吟·’广告蒋介石神色断蔡，甚至有些急迫。
狼眼成功的将日军引到华北，为争取到三个多月的时间，虽然行战会议决定保卫武汉不战于武汉，但他却非常希望能守住武汉。进一步振奋国民信心。
“委员长，我们应该加强与英法的联系，尽量说服他们，不要对日妥协林蔚思索着说：“我记得庄文革曾经提到过，如果欧战爆发，日本很可能南下，这不是英法退让就可以的，而是日本要继续战争的经济需要，因此英法有可能增加对我们的援助。”
王宠惠立刻接口道：“这个分析可以作，但由外交部去恐怕有些不合适1这会给水东引的感觉。反倒不好，不如让中央日报对苏德条约对世界的影响做个分析，我们则提出加强双方军事和经济合作。”
“好。就这样”蒋介石想想后说：“给文革去电，这篇文章让他
众人一愣，没想到蒋介石居然想起了远在四川的庄继华，而且还把文章交给他写，不过白崇禧和林蔚却丝毫不感到奇怪，庄继华帛就对欧洲局势做过预测，连川藏公路都是为这个准备的。
庄继华没让蒋介石失望，第二天就把文章发来，标题十分醒目《苏德条约将世界抛进战火，我国未来艰难》
“上次欧战后。德国将领们总结了一条至关重要的教，德国无法在；两线作战中获胜，苏德条约解除了希特勒元首对东方的担忧，斯大林也通过这个条约让苏俄暂时躲在战争之外，但这个条约对世界而言，是场灾难。
希特勒元首绝不会在波兰领土让步，张伯伦首相也不会在波兰问题让步，因此战争会以比我们想象快的速度爆发，欧洲将陷入战火。
英法虽然兵力众多，装备精良。但战法老旧，军队内部暮气沉沉；相反德军将领自上次战败后就在励精图治，研究战略战术，笔者曾经在拍林军事学校学习，对德军将领的治军和战略战术均有研究，故我相信德国会在很短的时间内击败法国，但由于德国海军实力薄弱，因此他们的步伐将入拿破仑般在英吉利海峡停下。
欧洲局势的变化，势必影响亚州局势，特别是远东局势，特别是我们正在进行的抗线
首先产生变化的将在苏俄，苏德条约并不能让斯大林完全放心，除了希特勒上台后以反苏反犹带来的不安，他也不会放过利用战争谋求利益的机会，但在此之前他必须解决东线问题，也就是日本问题，因此他会以中国的利益与日本交换，比如承认满洲国，关闭新疆通道等等。
其次是英法，英法为了避免日军南下南洋，也同样会以中国利益作为交换，最大的可能是关闭西南边界通道，断绝我们外贸通路。
不过英法的算盘肯定打错了。日军注定要南下，这不是英法采取退让所能改变的。战争已经打了两年，日本的经济潜力几乎耗尽，到目前为止日本国内已经无力向内地的侵略军提供充足的粮食布匹，他们已经加大了对占领区的掠夺。
两年的战争耗尽了日本的黄金储备和外汇储备，日本已经无力从海外购进铁矿，石油，橡胶，特别是后两者，日本即使占领中国也得不到，对这两者的追求，将迫使日本向南洋进军。
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