第八章 诡道 第二节 陕北行(二)
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在抗大学习中。他就思考过，庄继华应该归在那类人中，或者归在当今中国的那个阶层中，思索良久，他还是把他划入小资产阶级这类，尽管他现在身居高个，但本质上还是小资产阶级。
这次邀请庄继华去延安得失如何，他实在看不清。
“文革，这次去延安能不能见到肛凶。宫绣画打破车内的平静问道。
“不知道”。庄继华的目光依旧在窗外的原野上，漫不经心的答道：“最好还是能见到，他是实际领导人，了解他的想法，说服他，可以保证抗战胜利后的国内和平。”
“如果西南的工业基地能够完成”宫绣画叹口气说：“国民党的实力会倍增，你那个老师恐怕不会同意他们保留军队和政权，恐怕。难以保全
“那你太轻看他们了”。庄继华明白宫绣画的意思，有强大的工业基础，有经过抗战锻炼的军队，蒋介石不会再允许延安保留军队。也不会允许延安保持现在这种状态，也不会轻易就范，内战就会爆发，将会被消灭：“现在的根据地分布，翼察战区，热河，山东，山西，山东山西还算了。察哈尔和热河就有大作用了，紧靠蒙古，完全可以从苏俄得到援助，所以战争一旦打起来，胜败还很难说，战争持续时间一旦超过一年以上，国民党失败的可能性更大。
“国民党会失败？”坐在副驾座上的伍子牛有些不相信，他回头看着庄继华，神情很是惊讶，庄继华调整下坐姿，淡淡的说：“战争胜败从来不仅仅是军事力量对比，更多的是政治和经济。重庆发生的事情说明。要求实行民主政治的诉求将越演越烈。我估计战后将达到一个，将以这个为号召，团结所有民主党派。在政治上获得主动。而经济上，八年抗战，国家经济困难，没有十年以上的恢复，国家财政好不了，所以，一旦爆发战争，经济政治双重压力，国民政府不一定能赢
庄继华也不敢把话说死了。他已经明显感到自己对历史的影响越来越大。缅甸之战就不说了。就说垂庆的工业基础。西南开发持续十年，即便有五年是边打边建设。但产生的效益也是惊人的。从短处看，西南的这片工业。解决了军队急需的武器装备，使部队装备提高。能和日军进行面对面的战斗。但从深层次来看，意义则更加非凡。
从军事工业及其延伸出去的行业，总共让超过一百万人受益。他们为这些工厂工作，领取工资。不但解决了就业，还带动市面繁荣。缓解了经济压力？
更重要的是，庄继华的成功让蒋介石更关注工业，所以宋美龄在美国谈判中，对工业设备的渴求超过了对军火的渴求，五亿美元全部购买了工业设备，一旦这些工厂建成投产，国民党军的战争潜力将上升两个台阶。
大规模工业建设，扩大了城市，城市化吸收了农村剩余劳动力。使农村矛盾不再那么激烈，社会总体矛盾下降，社会比起以前来更加安定，普通民众对政府的支持上升。
当然这其中还是有弱点，甚至有些弱点是致命的。首先这一切都不是稳定的，缺少保障，比如减租减息是行政命令强制实施，政府控制一旦削弱，地主肯定会反弹，农村矛盾会再度上涨。其次，整个体制是在一个更大的体制下运转，这个更大的体制可以随时摧毁下面的体制，要让重庆摆脱这种危险，只有让这个更大的体制实行和重庆一样的体制。
庄继华心中有个强烈的感觉，那个一手改变了现代中国的巨人一定会见他。否则邀请他到延安便毫无意义。
宫绣画却没想那么多，在庄继华决定去延安时，她就表示过反对
车队卷起一条黄色长龙，延安驶去。
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