第121章 危险游戏（上）
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黄昏前，列车驶抵柏林。因为要向德皇当面汇报英王加冕、阅舰式及炮术交流的情况，夏树携夏洛特乘车前往皇宫。途经威廉大街的时候，见广场上聚集了很多民众，受此影响，往来车辆只能缓慢移动，夏树听到那不知名讲演者在说着“耻辱”、“挑衅”、“不惜一战”，每到慷慨激昂之处，人们群情激奋地呼应着“是的”、“没错”。
前来接车的皇家侍从官与夏树相识已久，他解释说：“摩洛哥的麻烦事。”
夏树没有应声，他隐约记得两次摩洛哥危机和两次巴尔干战争让欧洲列强的矛盾冲突不断升温，最终导致了第一次世界大战的爆发。从历史发展的角度看，就算这两场危机和局部战争能够避免，新兴的崛起国家与老牌强国之间最本质的利益矛盾却是无法改变的。看看车窗外这些情绪亢奋的民众，他们中既有职员、工人，也有警察、公务员，还有少数穿着制服的军人。尽管这样的讲演难称精彩，甚至有着明显的逻辑漏洞，只凭颇具鼓动性的语调和措辞，讲演者便让这些处于社会中低阶层的德国人热血沸腾起来，进而左右舆论和民意的方向这种具有时代和文化特性的政治氛围由来已久，并将继续延续下去，直至造就一段小人物成为独裁者的传奇。
好容易穿过拥塞的街道抵达皇宫，夏树刚一下车就遇上了威廉皇储，只见他一脸兴奋地同两名陆军将领说着什么，这种表情和刚刚在街头所见的那些民众有着惊人的相似之处。
“皇储殿下！”
直至夏树呼唤，威廉皇储才意识到这位长得跟自己最像的胞弟来了。
当着两位资深将领陆军元帅冯-德-戈尔茨男爵、陆军上将卡尔-冯-比洛的面，威廉皇储愉快地说：“嘿，约亨，我们的海军天才，你这是刚从英国回来吧！听说我们的战舰在今年的炮术交流中狠狠羞辱了英国佬，太棒了！这回他们该知道我们的海军也不是好惹的了吧！”
为免给这些位高权重的陆军将领们造成错误判断，夏树答道：“是的，殿下，我们是今年的胜利者胜在准备更加充分。”
兴奋的威廉皇储似乎没有领会夏树的用意，他有些过度热情地挽着夏树的胳膊：“英国人惯用的进攻胁迫对我们已经失去了效用，陆军能够无所顾忌地横扫法国，然后，我们将在大西洋获得出海口，反过来对不列颠诸岛形成战略挟制。未来的欧洲，德意志帝国将是唯一的主导者！”
夏树一面惊讶于威廉皇储对海军战略的理解，一方面又对他所说的陆军横扫法国感到由衷的好奇难道这一次德国不仅仅将战争作为外交筹码，而是真的准备进攻法国了？若是如此，英俄势必卷入，第一次世界大战也将提前3年爆发。
德国海军有足够的实力应对这场战争么？
夏树在脑海中飞快地计算着：德国当前服役的无畏舰共有7艘，战列巡洋舰2艘，已完工未服役1艘；英国海军已入役的无畏舰8艘，已完工未服役2艘，战列巡洋舰4艘，核心战力旗鼓相当，德国海军甚至还能凭借质量优势而略占上风，可一旦海战爆发，双方数量庞大的前无畏舰群仍将是战场上的中坚力量，而在这一方面，德国以22艘对英国的40艘处于绝对劣势，装甲巡洋舰、轻巡洋舰、驱逐舰/大型鱼雷艇的状况亦是如此。也就是说，德国海军仅仅凭借提尔皮茨力推的海军法案而在新式主力舰上缩小了同英国的差距，整体规模和实力仍有一个数量级的差距。
但是，战争的比拼并不局限于绝对实力，军事谋略讲究虚虚实实，刚刚结束的炮术交流恰好为德国海军的“虚张声势”提供了有利条件。
四人交谈了不多会儿，陆军的首脑人物，总参谋长小毛奇从门廊里边走了出来，神情显得有些沮丧。
威廉皇储略微收起了自己的兴奋劲头，关切地问：“怎么样？”
小毛奇摇了摇头：“陛下坚决不同意为了摩洛哥同法国开战。”
“可这是千载难逢的好机会！”威廉皇储毫不顾忌地嚷嚷道，“法队占领摩洛哥已成定局，我们要么在外交上遭受失败，被世人讥笑为懦夫，要么以此为借口横扫法国，重现1870年的辉煌胜利，迫使法国解散军队、退出三国协约，彻底打破威胁到德意志存亡的包围圈！”
尽管威廉皇储的心态有些浮躁，但以当前的欧洲格局，夏树认为，他的意见并非没有可取之处。法国和俄国都未做好充分的战争准备，此时进行军事冒险要比三年后更有得胜的几率。
威廉皇储非常不甘心地说：“我这就去见陛下，我们不能再犯错误了。”
然后，他转向夏树：“约亨，我们一起去劝说陛下吧，他一定会改变主意的。”
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