第二十一章、虑胜虑败
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于是别了诸葛诞，进入府中，就见是勋穿戴齐整，正要登车出门去上工。是复问候了起居，随即压低声音：“门外见诸葛公休，云为阿爷赠袍于卢慈范，未审何意耶？”你应该能够猜得到我要对卢洪动手吧，那又何必多此一举呢？
是勋淡淡而笑，然后说了六个字：“未虑胜，先虑败。”伸手在驭者肩膀上一拍，驭者一抖缰绳，马车便即辚辚启动，在烜赫仪仗的簇拥下，离府而去。
是复还有点儿摸不着头脑，便来找桓范相问。桓元则正在自家小院当中摆开席、案，一边读书一边晒太阳，见是复来了，即命仆役：“斟茶。”
这年月本没有茶，即便士大夫日常的饮料，除了薄酒也只有白水，所以是勋一开始饮茶，很快便蔚然成风这玩意儿又有滋味，又能养生，外加还不跟酒似的容易喝醉了误事，而且额外新添一种炫耀的功能（茶价仍贵，平民是喝不起的），真乃佳物也。尤其桓范所饮，全为是勋日常相赠，那都是“吴四姓”从天台山茶园里采集的精品，遣快马贡入是府的，质量绝对上乘。
可是儿子未必处处都象他爹，是复只好杯中之物，平素不怎么喜欢饮茶，所以摆摆手，说元则你给我倒杯白水来就成大白天的在自家府邸他可不敢喝酒，就算老爹不责备，曹淼抛过来的白眼那也受不了。随即便将自己的布置，以及父亲莫名的举动低声对桓范说了，桓范略一沉吟，已知是勋之意，不禁捻须笑道：“主公果深谋者也。”
是复还是不大明白，追问缘由，桓范却不肯说，只道：“且候消息。”
约摸中午时分，突然有快马驰入是复的偏院，正乃城外别业中健仆前来，密报是复：“吾等于大道旁守候，终劫其车，然车上人却非卢洪！于路再探，或已变装别去矣！”
是复闻言大惊，赶紧又跑去找桓范。桓元则远远瞧见他的脸色，便知端底，微微而笑：“事不协乎？”是复咬牙切齿地说道：“叵耐此贼如此警醒！”桓范说：“彼毕生谋人阴私，欲杀彼者，何止公子，安得不小心从事？”是复说你猜他还会不会去庐陵上任？我再派人去那儿蹲守吧。
桓范摇头：“一击不中，便当远飏，是谓刺客；日踵其迹，必断其首，乃死士也公子麾下便有豫让，又何必为小人而丧。主公自有筹谋，公子且拭目以待。”
此事暂且按下不表，且说十数日后即有捷报传来，关东乱平。
且说当日于禁、夏侯尚围曹冲于历阳，不久后曹洪亦率大军来到，把小小的历阳城围困得如同铁桶一般。曹冲向伊籍问计：“孤前云时机未熟，乃卿劝孤先发也，今将覆亡，奈何？”
伊籍心说我当初是想你赶紧惹点儿乱子出来，好试着拯救蜀汉，如今汉已亡矣赵云保着刘禅退守永昌之事，倒还并没有传至关东我终究还是慢了一步啊……嘴里却说：“臣前日亦尝云，机不可纵，时不再来，大王或起而一博，或即此永为藩臣矣。大王宁博，博必有输赢，岂臣之失耶？”
我当初话也说得很明白了，你要想谋夺天下，只有这一个时机，等到西蜀灭亡，曹髦也坐稳了帝位，那就只好一辈子窝在历阳当藩王啦要么赌一把，要么彻底死心。结果你非要赌，既然是赌博，必有输赢啊，你早就该有这种心理准备啦！
曹冲不禁慨叹道：“悔不当初！”伊籍不禁心中冷笑：你死到临头，才感觉生命的可贵吗？当初起事的时候可是梗着脖子说，若不能成就帝业，还不如死了算哪“孤岂甘久居于孺子之下耶？！”
不过终究是有过几年的主从之谊，伊籍当下给出主意：“臣为大王守城，以牵绊之，大王可易服而遁，或可得生。”曹冲思来想去，也只有这条路可走了，于是撇下妻妾，只带了几名亲信，改换平民服色，于夜间用绳索缀下北城，潜行而遁。
历阳被围日久，常有平民扶老携幼逃出城去，以免将来城破后玉石俱焚，曹兵也不怎么拦阻，所以曹冲觉得自己要走那也不难吧。谁料正待潜过曹军营垒，却被一哨人马拦住，当先之将远远地就喝问：“得无历阳王欲遁耶？！”
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