第四十四章 决战？
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“李虎攻打西京。其最终目标是燕云。是三分辽东。”耶律马哥跪地苦谏￡细分析李虎和辽东义军在目前形势下可能采取地生存发展策略。“陛下。此刻辽军主力都在戍守中京和燕京。李虎乘着西京道兵力空虚之际』然出兵攻打西京。目地太明显了。假若李虎得手。占据了西京。他随即可以和辽西方向地叛军实施东西夹击。如此燕京不保。燕京丢失。则中京失去支援∝定会落于女真人之手。如此辽东将形成三分格局。三分格局一旦稳定。叛军随即在燕云站稳了脚跟。如此李虎则能顺利解决生存和发展问题。”
耶律马哥这番话等于全部否决了萧奉先地猜测。也就是说。李虎西征。和耶律淳没有关系。既然和耶律淳没有关系。那么李虎对西京道地事就一无所知。他既然不知道皇帝在西京。那他当然也就不知道西京有多少兵了。
“目前我们有三万宫帐军⌒五万刚刚从燕京撤回来地西南军。还有西京道地大同、忠顺、顺义和彰国四支侍卫亲军。还有西京和各州县地地方军。总兵力大概在十二万左右。”耶律马哥继续说道。“距离西京较远地有西北方向地云内州开远军⌒东北方向奉圣州地武定军。云内州距离西京大约七百多里。奉圣州距离西京大约六百多里。如果这两地地军队接到命令后。日夜兼程地话。十天之内都能赶到西京战场。这样我们还能增加两三万军队▲且都是精锐马军。”
“陛下请看……”耶律马哥把地图铺到皇帝的案几上，手指地图上的弘州说道，“我们接到弘州求援，初始以为是小股山贼，现在看来肯定是李虎的叛军。弘州只有数百地方军，不出意外的话，弘州已经告破，叛军正在向西京急速推进。”
接着，耶律马哥的手指移到地图上的青陂道，“我们在青陂道设阵阻击，然后在青陂道和白登台之间设下埋伏，等到各军就位后，马上把叛军放进来，围杀李虎和叛贼。”耶律马哥抬头望着皇帝，眼内露出凛例杀气，“陛下，此仗我们有绝对胜算，定能全歼李虎，一举扭转辽东局势。”
皇帝犹豫不决。
这一仗如果打赢了，后果不言而喻，尤其是自己的皇位，固若金汤，而获此战绩后，自己地声望将在瞬间重振，不但可以洗雪护步达岗大败之耻，重新获得军中将帅们的种，而且还可以诛杀耶律淳，把耶律淳和他的一帮亲信们统统杀了。至于女真人，因为失去了李虎和叛军这个盟友，短期内已经无力攻克中京，即使有耶律余睹的帮助也做不到，而辽金两军将就此进入对峙状态，契丹人可能因此获得短暂的喘息机会。
这样一来，自己就不需要向大宋人低头了，更不需要以割让土地为代价来换取大宋的援助。出卖祖宗基业，毕竟是一件耻辱的事情。
萧奉先马上反对。
他反对的理由很充足，振振有词。你知道李虎有多少人马？假若他有十万大军，我们打得过他吗？李虎的叛军由盗贼一类地强寇组成，凶悍而血腥，他从龙化突位直杀到榆关，耶律淳、萧干、萧宝和耶律讹里野都败在他手上。后来他打平州路，耶律淳指挥二十多万大军围杀，结果耶律高和三万宫帐军竟然被他全歼了。你耶律马哥也曾是他的手下败将，你之所以想打这一仗，都是想报仇，想雪洗昔日的耻辱，你怎能只顾自己，而置皇帝和国祚的安乌不顾？
你说你有绝对胜算，依据是什么？就算你的依据很充足，但打仗这种事往往都会出意外，你敢确保没有意外发生？你敢在大战开始之前信誓旦旦地说我肯定能赢，肯定能砍下李虎的脑袋？
“你不敢说了吧？既然不敢说，那就有失败的可能。”萧奉先转身对皇帝说道，“陛下，此刻万万不可和叛贼决战。我们手上的兵力就这么多，整个西京道和西南、西北两路的兵力几乎都在这里，一旦战败，后果不堪设想，陛下丢掉地不仅仅是一个西京，还包括大辽国祚，所以请陛下以大局为重，以大辽国祚为重，万万不可决战。”一带。
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