第三章 、益州可入
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若非如此，在原本的历史上，后来刘备入蜀，怎么会有那么多带路党呢？张松是益州土著犹有可说，法正、孟达都是关中人，也算半拉“东州士”，李严是正经的荆州出身啊。
原因在于，东州士中间也分阶层，那些身居高位，手握大权的，认为扶着个没用的傀儡很踏实，可是绝大多数中层、底层干部，却清晰地认识到再这样下去毫无前途，益州必亡，自家就算不死，也说不定会被灰溜溜地赶回老家去。这时候要是再从老家开来一支队伍，跟刘璋放上了对，你猜他们可能帮谁？
诸葛亮综合分析所搜集到的情报，侃侃而谈，对于益州局势真如反掌观文一般也，听得是勋都不禁佩服。是勋心说原本历史上的孔明，一出、二出祁山打得其实不咋样，故此乃罹“应变将略，非其所长”之讥，但这小年轻才出茅庐，便料天下三分，其后赴东吴，说孙权，战略眼光那是错不了的。这既是天赋，也是少年时代勤学所得，跟我眼前这位诸葛亮虽然还差着几岁，那也毫无两样啊。只可惜我非一方之霸主也，谋划天下，不是我的担子，孔明之才，恐怕一定程度上将会虚掷了。
可是即便如此，他也没想直接把诸葛亮献给曹操。一则曹操麾下奇才无数，论起战略规划，荀彧叔侄、郭嘉奉孝，未必就比孔明差了，二则孔明终究年轻，名气也小，又错过了曹操最窘迫的兖州时期，这时候再入曹操幕，未必能得重用——你没看贾文和就没原本历史上那么得宠吗？
算了，这小年轻还是自家留着吧。孔明不仅仅是战略奇才，同时也是内政杰士，跟着自己，将来天下太平了搞搞政治，也未必就有多屈了他吧。
掉过头来再琢磨刘备，倘若真如诸葛亮所说，刘表派刘备往征益州，说不定那家伙就真跟原本历史上似的鸠占鹊巢了。然而：“以孔明所见，表将遣谁率军西进？”
诸葛亮说这我就猜不好了。刘表的志向是独霸荆襄，所以张绎未灭，他肯定不会派发主力入蜀，蔡瑁、黄祖、蒯良等心腹，也都不大可能为将。但是刘备终究是寄居，就我所知，刘表对他并不信任，让他西进的可能性也不大——
“况今朝廷分州荆襄，拜刘备为沅州刺史，明为离间表、备也。如此，则表必不能遣备。”
是勋说那还好，只要刘备不入蜀，我估计换了别人，未必能想到孔明你的策略，顶多也就帮忙赵韪打败刘璋而已。他知道在原本的历史上，刘表并未派发援军，因为东州兵的顽强防守，赵韪打成都是失败了的，随即部下反叛，赵韪被杀，动乱遂平。这要是一直让刘璋占着益州，将来我曹家势力想入川就要简单、方便得多啦。
郭淮虽然对政治不大感冒，但对战略谋划还是挺有兴趣的，诸葛亮跟是勋分析益州情势的时候，他就一边听，一边在旁边儿扯过张地图来反复比划。此刻见讨论已然接近尾声，就提出了自己的疑问：“朝廷既分州荆、扬、益、幽，何不及于凉州也？”
这时候东汉朝十三州，曹家控制了其中七个，剩下六个，这回也给分了四个，交州太过偏远还则罢了，剩下一个凉州不分，这是为啥呢？
是勋笑着回答道：“吕布悍猛，非孙、刘可比也，而况以吕布为凉州牧，使讨马、韩，此朝廷早有明诏，布因而贡赋不缺。今若分州于凉，则布必怒，于朝廷不利。”
说白了，分州就是要削弱地方割据势力的权柄和影响力，同时埋钉子，让你们内斗去，这必然会触怒对方。二刘和孙家怒就怒了，暂时也无力威胁朝廷，但吕布不一样，他要一怒，说不定直接撇下马、韩就渡黄河袭击并州，或者南下打长安去了——那蛮人完全干得出来啊。所以这会儿，绝不能够刺激吕布。
不过是勋也很快就得到了消息，吕布军势大盛，并且南结张鲁，在汉阳郡内击败了韩、马联军。韩遂遁归老窝金城，马腾没地儿去，竟然通过雍州刺史严象，向朝廷递交了降表。朝廷遂命马家军入关，暂屯槐里，马超、庞德等随即率军大破刘鸣雄、吕并等，关中悉平……(未完待续请搜索，小说更好更新更快!
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